Sean Defoe

if he's picking up transfers, if he goes out before, say, Sinn Féin, we won't know if he would have got a big portion of Janice's votes.

But I'd be interested to be looking at the boxes and see, is he appearing on those transfers?

Because this all points to him contesting the next general election.

And if he keeps his current numbers, well, then he would get a seat.

Yeah, it's interesting, Cian, that if this shakes out the way the poll suggested it would, then it will be the elimination of Fine Gael's Ray McAdam and Gerry Hutch that would elect either of Janice Boylan or Daniel Ennis.

which is a very difficult transfer pattern to predict.

Yeah, and by-elections are different in terms of transfers are important in every election, but by-elections are especially important.

So I do think he's likely to do very well on transfers from all directions.

Lynn, do you think we're going to see a continuation of what we saw in the general election of Daniel?

transfers being a little bit more all over the place than they used to be and that I was talking to for example one campaigner who said they were knocking on a Gerry Hutch door for Fine Gael and they were like oh no no I'm all Gerry Hutch but I'll give you my number too you know what I mean it's just we've seen these weird Is that a Fine Gael canvasser that told you that?

Of course it's a Fine Gael canvasser but we have seen weirder patterns of transfers between left and right like it's not as binary maybe as transfers were in elections past

We're just at a time before my panel leaves.

A quick prediction in one word for each constituency.

Lynne?

Cian?

Yeah, I hope that Daniel Ennis is elected and that we have a very strong Sean Galway West as well with me and Cian Leoch.

Craig, predict the two, go on, neck on the block.

I would say, I think Janice Boylan in Dublin Central and in Galway.

Oh, God, yeah.

Labour are very confident of their candidate, Councillor Ogbu, and a lot of people on the independent side of the house are saying that name to me.