Seth Jones

speaker

148 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jan 2026 last heard 31 Jan

Seth Jones’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jan 2026 with 1.

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The President's Daily Brief · PDB Situation Report | January 31st, 2026: American Firepower Gathers at Iran’s Doorstep & The Cost of Putin’s War · 31 Jan 2026 podcast

I mean, just going back to my time within the US military, especially spending time, the years I was in Afghanistan, it was hard to assess Taliban casualty and fatality rates.

So what you do is you look at a number of

data points, you pulled together numbers, essentially drafts, which is what we did.

And then we went a little bit on a roadshow, looked at all of the assessments and their numbers that come out of a range of different research organizations.

We went to US intelligence and military,

We went to the British government, the polls and a number of other European countries that are tracking it.

And so I think what we ended up coming down with is estimates that we felt were.

know generally within the range of what was likely had to be particularly careful about uh looking at ukrainian and russian estimates themselves what they put out publicly and just have a tendency i think to uh either go too high or too low depending on who's who whether they're reporting on themselves or others but i think we felt

as we and then we had a few people review our numbers.

Mick Ryan, for example, retired two star Australian general who's been to Ukraine six times, took a look at all of our data.

We thanked him at the end of the report.

So we had a bunch of people take a look at it.

So I think at the end of the day, we felt like we were in the ballpark.

And then every briefing we did to U.S., British and other government officials

generally confirmed that their estimates were kind of in the same area.

So, you know, it's not exact.

It's a little bit more of an art than a science, but I think we were in the ballpark.

We did look at a number of sources that that did pull up hospital records for Russian casualties.

We did look at Ukrainians as well.

That is helpful to some degree.

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