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Skanda Amarnath

πŸ‘€ Speaker
348 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

like, oh, this affects power, which affects transportation.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's more like it's a risk on environment.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And so this is one in which transactions happen and correlations do go to one in both directions.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So if it's an environment where investment appetite is particularly solid, that's one in which other companies, other sectors have a chance to participate as well.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, I think the consumer is spending in total at a reasonable pace.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But I think one thing that's going to be changing is they're facing more inflationary pressures.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And again, there's obviously energy, but it's also like food prices.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

If you think about a lot of what is being guided on the staple side, right, suggests they're going to pass through a lot of costs.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So you think about all the pet chem prices that are in all your household cleaning products and your household paper products.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's basically, there is assuming, okay, we're going to be able to preserve our margin.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And that means we're going to pass it through to the retailer, to the consumer.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So someone's going to hit the squeeze.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It might be the consumer in that case.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And that's really like a real consumption squeeze.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So the money can keep flowing, even though we may not necessarily be getting richer.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

If anything, what you're pointing out is actually very real in the data about goods to services.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So we see in goods, obviously, consumer spending is kind of not as great.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

We're not seeing the spending in terms of food and staples and even whatever else you get in the grocery store.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But if you see it in terms of services, in terms of air travel, even though airfares are going up quite considerably, the actual volumes of air travel are quite robust.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Restaurants haven't been that great.