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Skanda Amarnath

πŸ‘€ Speaker
348 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Restaurants have not been as great.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I think restaurants are also facing a big food squeeze.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So everything, your costs on the food side have gone up, especially for Shake Shack.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So in that sense, you also get the rotation there, too.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

If you're not going to spend as much at the grocery store, you're not going to spend as much in types of food services experiences.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But you might spend it on other kinds of recreation services.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

You might spend it on accommodations, resorts.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And I do think we'll see that story play out as well.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I think it's probably two things I can think of.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

One is the labor market has been underperforming.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So when we say like, hey, given like what we're seeing in the labor market being so sluggish, the consumer looks pretty good.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And given these facts like, oh, okay, well, it's happening despite the labor market not being as good.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

This is quite impressive.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But the labor market is sluggish in a lot of ways.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Benchmark to what we saw in the 2010s even.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

This is slower than that.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And yet, we're also seeing the structural trend, a lot of this is also by the tax system.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

The tax code has sort of created a lot of biases in a way that makes it just, you're going to be more inclined to try and stay at the margin, steer away from W-2 income.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

towards either trying to own your own business.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

There's obviously a lot of stuff with capital versus labor.