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Skanda Amarnath

πŸ‘€ Speaker
348 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's really hard to know in real time.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And it does seem like the best approximation is what we can see in the present.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

What I can see in the present is risk on, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I can see just that there is a lot of appetite.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

The capacity on compute is clearly very much tight as far as anthropic is concerned.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And at the same time, they are seeing revenue growth.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So that's all reasons to keep investing, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Reasons to keep being optimistic.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

At some point, there are, I'm sure there is a point where exponential curves become S curves, but-

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

That point is not right now.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I honestly think for productivity, a lot of what people are talking about are things that happened in the previous years.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

call it one to three years.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like you look at Q1 data on productivity, not great.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

If you think about the supply shocks that are hitting because of, hey, price of gasoline is much higher than it was in Q1, price of all sorts of energy, airfares.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

You have a lot of other shortages and other shocks that are materializing too.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Yeah, right, cattle and beef, all that stuff is going to feed through as well.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

If that's happening,

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

that's probably going to also weigh on productivity too.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And so productivity growth is not actually as rosy now as it probably was in 23, 24, 25.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

That's right.