Stephen Castles
speaker
54 appearances
3 recordings
1 series
first heard May 2011
last heard Aug 2013
Stephen Castles’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
The figure is absolute nonsense.
There's no evidence whatsoever that anything like that number of people who've been forced to move by climate change.
And Norman Myers, who I know we've discussed together, is an environmentalist.
And I think his objective in putting forward these dramatic projections was to really
scare public opinion and politicians into taking action on climate change, which of course is a very laudable motive.
But the problem was that he really used a method to make projections that is really not permissible at all.
He simply took a map of the world and
worked out what areas would be inundated if the sea rose, say, by 50 centimeters, and then simply assumed that all the people affected by this sea level rise would have to migrate, and that a lot of them would migrate to developed countries.
And really, there was no basis for it.
People in the migration and refugee field were very shocked by that.
And we asked, where is the empirical evidence for that?
And of course, there isn't any.
All the empirical evidence we have suggests that
When climate change takes place, and it's a very real problem, I don't want to play that down at all.
The first thing that people try and do is to adapt and to try and change the way they live and work in the place where they are.
Only a very small proportion of people choose migration as an adaptation strategy.
And then it's usually fairly short distance migration.
So people try and rebuild their livelihoods rather than moving long distances.
Showing 21–40 of 54 · page 2 of 3
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