Stephen Koukoulas
speaker
2,355 appearances
24 recordings
2 series
first heard Apr 2026
last heard 5d ago
Stephen Koukoulas’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 24 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 6.
Appearances
That could actually be pointing to the reason why growth is slowing.
However, sorry to be the two-handed economists on the one hand, on the other hand, but however, if the government is still
You know, churning away its expenditure on health and aged care and these sorts of uh other essential services, let's call them.
Then we could just could get an upside surprise on this GDP number.
It'll be, you know, two point two, two point three in annual terms, which would be
No, above the speed limit.
The RBA give and given where we're coming from, because again, it's always the context from where we've come from.
So if we of course GDP was zero and we'd accelerated to two, or GDP was two and a half and we've slowed to two, very different concepts or very different momentum, I should say, on RBA thinking.
The fact that we're starting to slow down, w I think the RBA would love to see a slight downside surprise.
So even on one point nine, you know, the the the
Beauty of round numbers, 2%.
Oh, still reasonably strong.
1.9.
Oh, we're slowing down.
They would love to see economic growth at 1.9, 1.8%, because that would be confirming the trajectory of the forecast they put out only a few weeks ago.
They wanted the economy to slow down to get rid of that demand pressure in the economy.
Uh that would probably not really muddy the waters for the RBA, but it would be sort of at uh
It'd be creating a debate with the monetary policy board.
The inflation hook saying, look, inflation's too high.
The uh growth and uh employment doves, if we can call them that.
Showing 301–320 of 2,355 · page 16 of 118
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