Steve Gibson
speaker
17,616 appearances
14 recordings
1 series
first heard May 2026
last heard 2 Sep
Steve Gibson’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 14 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 5.
Appearances
The end result of this, and this is still mind-boggling to me, is purely and simply a next most likely token prediction engine.
You know, Leo, your very, as I've said, your very early initial observation was that what we were calling AI, and this is a couple of years ago, was little more than fancy spell check.
Check.
Yes.
Um and then as our listeners will remember last week I I I quoted a nearly stunned Matthew Green specifically saying that it's not just fancy spell check.
But its essence has not changed.
You know, you were not wrong, Leo, then, and Matthew is also not wrong today.
So how do we explain this apparent disparity?
It's that over the past couple of years, what was initially a simple next word predicting spell check has become really, really, really, really fancy spell check.
Um, deep underneath even today's astonishingly apparently intelligent reasoning systems, down at their core, is still just a neural network that only does exactly one thing.
Given a long and in many cases astonishingly long token sequence, it predicts.
the most likely next token.
And the fact that we get what we now get from that, well, that's what's still mind-boggling to me.
Um
I'm gonna spend a bit more time on this because a deeper understanding of the truth of what's actually going on with today's AI, I think will help everyone to appreciate.
Next week's the second of the two research papers I plan to share, which is
I d well I I I don't know how to sum it up quickly.
So
Stay tuned.
So your original Leo, you know, it's just spell check autocomplete summation.
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