Tamay Besiroglu

I would be pretty surprised by that.

So I think Robin Hanson has, again, talked about this, where he said a bunch of the things that people fear about AI are just things they fear about change and fast change.

So the thing that's different is that

AI has a prospect of accelerating a bunch of this change so that it happens in a narrower period.

I have never seen a good argument for this.

Higher risk tolerance.

So if you're looking at the software singularity picture, I agree that picture looks different.

And again, I'm coming back to this because obviously Daniel and maybe Scott to some extent, they probably have this view that the software-only singularity is more plausible.

And then one person would just be in a position to like – we could end up in a situation where their idiosyncratic preferences or something end up being more influential.

That's right.

Yeah.

I agree that makes the situation look different from if you just have this broader process of automation.

But even in that world, I think a lot of people have this view about things like value lock-in, where they think this moment is like a pivotal moment in history.

And then we're just going to have, like, someone is going to get this AI, which is very powerful because, say, of software-only singularity.

And then they're just going to, like, lock in some values.

And then those values are just going to be stable for, like, millions of years.

And I think that just looks like very unlike anything that has happened in the past.

So I'm kind of confused why people think it's very plausible.

I think people have the argument that they see the future, again, in my view, in sort of far mode.

They think there's going to be one AI.