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Tamay Besiroglu

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
878 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Like, class.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Sure, but then I guess I'm still not seeing the... I mean, if the question is just that is it possible for that to happen, which is like a weaker claim, then yeah, I mean, it seems possible.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But there are, I think, a lot of arguments just pushing back against it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Probably actually the biggest one is the fact that AI preferences are just not... Like, just look at the AIs we have today.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Like, can you imagine them doing that?

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

I think people just don't put a lot of weight on that because they think once we have enough optimization pressure and once they become super intelligent, they're just going to become misaligned.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But I just don't see the evidence for that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

No, there's more than some evidence.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Yeah, so imagine that you gave students at a school a test, and then the answer key was, like, 100.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Yeah, so I think, like, it's important to be clear about, like, what is the thing that you're actually worried about?

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Like, I think some people are just, like, say that, oh, like, we're gonna, like, humans are gonna lose control of the future.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Like, we're not gonna be the ones that are, like, making the important decision.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

We...

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

However conceived, that's also kind of nebulous.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But okay, so is that something to worry about?

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

If you just think biological humans should remain in charge of all important decisions forever, then I agree.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

The development of AI seems like kind of a problem for that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But in fact, other things also seem like kind of a problem for that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

I just don't expect to generically be true.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Like a million years from now, even if we don't develop AI, biological humans, the way we recognize them today, are still making all the important decisions, and they have something like the culture that we would recognize from ourselves today.