Tamay Besiroglu

Like maybe it takes six months for like a – even in a particularly difficult job for a new worker to like start being productive.

Well, that's not that long.

So I don't think that would rule out companies being able to onboard AI workers, assuming that they don't need to make a ton of new complementary innovation discoveries to take advantage.

I think one way in which current AI systems are being inhibited, and the reason we're seeing the growth maybe be slower than you might otherwise expect, is because companies in the economy are not used to working with this new technology.

They have to rearrange the way they work.

in order to take advantage of it.

But if AI systems were literally able to substitute for human workers, then, well, the complementary innovations might not be as necessary.

Right.

I think there's a first point about this very macroeconomic picture where you just expect a ton of scaling of all the relevant inputs.

I think that is the first order thing.

But then you might have more micro questions about, okay, how does this world actually look like?

How is it different from a world in which we just have a lot more people and a lot more capital and a lot more ... Because it should be different.

And then I think these considerations become important.

I think another important thing is just that AIs can be aligned.

Like, you get to control the preferences of your AI systems in a way that you don't really get to control the preferences of your workers.

Like, your workers, you can just select.

You don't really have any other option.

But for your AIs, you can, like, fine-tune them.

You can, like, build AI systems which have the kind of preferences that you want.

And you can imagine that's, like...