Tarek Mansour
speaker
238 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2026
last heard 4d ago
Tarek Mansour’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 1.
Appearances
But at the end of the highway, you want to have the guardrails.
You want to have a barricade so that you cannot really fall off the cliff completely.
Getting those guardrails wrong.
Or if society doesn't adopt that fast enough.
And I don't think this is just in the context of prediction markets.
Calci has ambitions beyond prediction markets.
What do you think Calci will be in five years?
Do you want to replace Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange?
I do want to build a next generation financial market, one that can capture and bring in a much broader set of people and that captures the speed and velocity at which things are moving.
Kevin Hassett wrote about this a few years ago, but decided to be a good thing.
The entropy in the system goes up, which means that the pricing of our traditional assets gets worse over time.
Today, if you want to have a very good pricing of SP or home prices or other asset prices, you have to have a very good view on AI.
You have to have a very good view on geopolitical risk.
You have to have a very good view on healthcare or new COVID or hantavirus outbreaks.
All these are independent dimensions that end up impacting our asset prices.
There's a theory, which I think is being put in practice, that you have to have infinite markets to capture all these dimensions, to price them effectively.
Having prediction markets under all these different questions
will enable us to have a better gauge, lower the entropy in those questions which inevitably lowers the entropy in our broader understanding of the world.
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