Telis Demos
speaker
656 appearances
10 recordings
1 series
first heard Jun 2018
last heard Dec 2024
Telis Demos’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
WSJ Your Money Briefing · Consumer Credit Card Use Isn't Growing, and Banks Are Worried · 1 Nov 2019
podcast
And you might see some weakness in their spending.
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And we've seen that a little bit in their borrowing and other activities like M&A, where companies just aren't really being as aggressive as they might otherwise be, given the
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you know, pretty decent U.S.
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economy.
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Businesses have been talking about, like, for example, you know, Citigroup CEO Michael Corbett has talked for a long time about that the biggest risk to the economy is that we talk ourselves into a recession.
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And what he means by that is that, like, if you look at what's actually kind of underneath the machinery, underneath the economy, it's actually pretty decent.
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But they're just all these things that seem and feel risky to people.
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And so people stop making investment decisions because they just feel risk rather than that they're actually seeing that risk.
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pull through in their businesses.
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They're not actually seeing that on the ground.
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They're just feeling like that.
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So I think businesses are a little frustrated that they have in front of them, you know, the stock market continues to go up, the economy continues to expand.
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So rates low are good for them because they should be able to borrow and invest and things like that.
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But there just is this kind of anxiety and this lack of enthusiasm about big investments that businesses feel like are holding them back.
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Consumers really have been the strongest part of the economy for much of this year.
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The third quarter GDP numbers, some people say that almost the entirety of that growth came from the consumer and from growing government spending.
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So, really, it's not so much is the consumer hurting, it's just is the consumer going to be quite as ebullient as they have been.
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And so it's worth looking at anything that indicates that consumers are just a little bit maybe less willing to stretch and extend and continue to buy and spend and improve their house and things like that.
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One interesting measure, too, has been that consumers have refinanced a lot of their debt.
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So when rates dropped, people refinanced their mortgages.
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