Thomas Small

So obviously it will not be as bad a deal as the JCPOA, which some people say wasn't even a bad deal.

So there are so many differences of opinion on that question.

So if Donald Trump gets a deal, if somehow that deal can include Iran relinquishing its control of the Strait of Hormuz,

without any further military action, that strikes me as unlikely.

I don't really see a way out at the moment.

Not one that doesn't include a resumption of ferocious hostilities.

I did say that global recession, global even depression is inevitable.

I did not say that the global economy is adjusting in any upward way.

No, no.

well because hezbollah is an extremely powerful less powerful now than it was five years ago but a very powerful iranian backed iranian financed iranian organized iranian inspired militia that has as its stated aim the you know the destruction of the state of israel in a way i mean it couches that in the same kind of resistance

narrative that all of Israel's enemies couches their activities in.

But it remains there, you know, a non-state actor totally destabilizing and having almost wrecked the salience of a Lebanese state for a long time.

It is Iran's, this is the pointed end of Iran's proxy network right at Israel.

And so

That's why.

I mean, there you go.

And it's if you as long as Hezbollah exists and, you know, lobs missiles into Israel requiring Israel for now over two years to essentially evacuate much of its northern territory, then Israel will want to deal with that situation.

And that will play an integral part in any larger Israeli plan to neutralize the threat of Iran in general and a nuclear Iran specifically.

Well, you say that.

I think one of the things that Donald Trump is trying to achieve at the moment, and may be working with Benjamin Netanyahu to achieve this, that's what I was referring to earlier about the good cop, bad cop routine, that it seems that Trump and Netanyahu are at daggers drawn now.