Tom Bilyeu

Or something else entirely, Trump decided to launch the war.

And history provided us with a swift reminder that the only law of history is the law of unintended consequences.

And thusly, the Strait of Hormuz was immediately shut down, not by Iran, but by the insurance companies who feared Iran would attack the ships.

And they were right.

Make no mistake.

This is why Iran has always been the pressure point.

Iran doesn't need to beat the United States military to win this war.

All they have to do is make the Strait unusable.

Mines, drones, missiles, asymmetric warfare that doesn't require a Navy, just chaos.

Disrupt the Strait and the oil stops flowing.

The petrodollar cracks, the Gulf states panic, and that $2 trillion that was supposed to fund the American AI economy

It goes into defense instead.

Here's what Jiang's framework showed him that so many other people missed.

The growing alliance between Iran, Russia, and China create an existential danger to the US, especially because right now the US is a declining empire

And when you combine that with the incentives facing Iran plus the incentives of Israel and Saudi Arabia, it becomes impossible for Trump to stop himself from attacking Iran.

I'm going to break all of that down.

First, just understand, not only did the circumstances dictate that Trump was guaranteed to attack Iran, the circumstances guaranteed that it would be impossible for him to win once he did.

Jiang could see that for reasons that are going to become incredibly clear.

The attack would cause Trump to lose control of the very thing he was trying to protect, the Strait of Hormuz.

welcome to part two the part of history everyone has forgotten to understand why iran specifically is the pressure point on the us and why it was the pressure point on the british before that and why in this moment the us was guaranteed to attack you need to understand