Tom Bilyeu

Now, accurate numbers are exactly impossible to pin down.

But Iranian security forces have engaged in a violent response against these protesters.

You've got some people claiming that the death toll is over 40,000.

That would be insane.

And to give you a sense in...

In Gaza, it took, I think, almost two years to hit that number.

So the fact that people are so quiet about what's going on in Iran is pretty wild.

International monitor and activist groups estimate the death toll has at a minimum exceeded 5,000 people and that tens of thousands of people have been detained.

So President Trump has made it abundantly clear that mass executions would be a red line that would trigger massive U.S.

intervention.

So when I look at this, I'm like, okay, it's a little bit sad that the time it takes to move the assets into the region are what they are because the resistance seems to have mostly died down and not necessarily for good reasons, probably because they were cracked down on ruthlessly, but nonetheless, the atmosphere is arguably declining in its urgency.

And so having the group out in the region

I'm guessing is more just from a deterrence perspective.

So even though things are more volatile than they've been since June of 2025 strikes when we did the strikes on the nuclear facilities, it seems like the odds of the U.S.

actually doing something unless Iran makes some sort of horrific move first are very, very low.

Currently, the U.S.

posture is officially being described just as deterrence.

So the goal here is to prevent the further violence, not to do some sort of preemptive strike.

Now,

There has been an arrival of a THAAD missile defense battery in Israel, and the carrier's group position is within striking distance, as we talked about earlier.