Tyler Cowen

speaker
2,016 appearances 10 recordings 1 series first heard Apr 2025 last heard 20 Jul

Tyler Cowen’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

Trend

recordings per month · last 12 months
3 · Jan OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 8 in all, peaking in Jan 2026 with 3.

Appearances

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Again, even if it's deep seeker manus.
So their smartest entities all of a sudden are American.
How would we feel, you know, if all of our smartest entities were Chinese?
We'd be like, whoa, well that's the position we're in now.
The AI race is much more important.
But to win that, you want free trade in the inputs for AI, which is quite a few different things.
Now you might want export controls on China, which we have to some extent.
I'm not sure they're effective, but I don't see any downside to trying them.
Uh but in the meantime you wanna just take in everything as much as you can, as cheaply as you can, as quickly as possible.
So I would say it's an extra reason to be skeptical about the tariffs.
I don't think it's impossible that he's right.
It's just very hard to predict that kind of thing.
I'm not sure the expected value calculation falls his way.
Again, I I would gladly admit export controls may not work out well.
It just seems odd not to try the first order policy to slow China down.
I suspect whether or not they invade Taiwan on whatever date, uh, they'll just develop quality, you know, chips and lithography themselves and it probably won't matter that much.
Uh but trying to forecast their their Taiwan decisions, it's just it's very hard to have a good theory of that one way or the other.
I read and hear a lot of propaganda on that, saying it's going very well.
I don't feel I have trustworthy sources of my own.
As an economist, my view tends to be supply is elastic, and if you pay for something you'll get it.
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