Tyler Gardner
speaker
5,337 appearances
12 recordings
1 series
first heard Jun 2026
last heard 5d ago
Tyler Gardner’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 12 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 5.
Appearances
If your withdrawal as a percentage of your current portfolio drops below 4%, you've effectively done so well that you can afford to spend more.
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So you give yourself a 10% raise, yippee, hoorah, and then you establish a lower guardrail at 6% withdrawal rate.
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If your withdrawal as a percentage of your current portfolio rises above 6%,
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your portfolio has shrunk enough that you need to tighten the belt.
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So you cut your spending by 10%.
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Bummer, but helpful.
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That's it.
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That's the framework.
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Two rules applied annually.
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What this does mathematically is dynamically adjust your spending in response to portfolio performance.
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When the market is good, spend a little more.
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When the market is bad, spend a little less.
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The cuts and raises are modest, 10% in either direction, but their cumulative effect over a 30-year retirement is enormous.
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The research on the guardrail approach shows that it can support sustainable withdrawal rates of 5% or higher compared to the more conservative 4% rule that assumes no dynamic adjustment.
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And, as you all know, the last thing I want any of us to do ever is blindly follow a rule that no longer even exists.
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Why do the guardrails work so well?
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Because the 4% rule was designed to survive the worst case scenario.
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I've said this so many times, but I'll remind you forever.
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It was designed to hold up during the worst 30-year period in U.S.
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market history.
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Showing 2861–2880 of 5,337 · page 144 of 267
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