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Vivek Dhar

πŸ‘€ Speaker
209 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

So NDPR, it has come up in the last year.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

And so it's quite, it's supported right now in terms of spot prices in that $110 to $115 a kilo range.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

And that so far is quite good when you consider that the floor prices that both Linus and MP Materials, what they managed to achieve was about $110.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

But we are seeing demand expectations for particularly rare earths start to accelerate.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

If I looked at what the IEA put out in the Curriculum Minerals Report last year, the level of demand increase from 2024 to 2030 was in the realm of 1.2 to 1.4 times higher.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

from 2024 to 2030.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

That's slowly picking up.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

I think the latest numbers I'm seeing in terms of some of the forecasters out there is closer to two times.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

And that is something that is going to put upward pressure on NDPR.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

So if we're near that 110 a kilo level, we could really see that lift.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

And I've seen forecasts out there of close to 150.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

So that's probably where the market is looking, that NDPR price.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

And I think that's the most critical one from that side.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

In terms of lithium and what we're seeing play out there, this has been an issue that has played out since the middle of last year.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

We have seen mostly Chinese policy that has pushed this lithium price higher.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

But if you look at very recently what to look out for, I think there is going to be upgrades to EV sales uptake, particularly outside China.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

So at the beginning of this year, everyone was thinking EV demand

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

EV sales growth about 9% this year, I'd say there's upside risk.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

And we're seeing that in a lot of the data from ex-China countries in terms of that EV uptake in response to this Iran war.

FEAR & GREED | Business News
Q+A: Could oil really hit $200 a barrel?

So I think there's a bit more upside to play in lithium, but certainly the price increase so far since June lows last year have been sizable.