Werner Antweiler
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And he also mentioned the insider information that could be a big problem.
That is, so one of the prediction markets that are running commercially predicted the outcome, whether or not Maduro would be taken the president of Venezuela.
And of course it did happen.
There was somebody who actually made a big profit on this.
We don't know who that person is, but we do know it happened that this person took a profit.
And that really looked a lot like insider information.
And that is a potential when you have events that are happening that are actually determined by individual people or a small circle of people.
They have knowledge that others don't.
And so they could trade on that.
With elections, that wasn't possible because elections are determined by millions of people actually go into the ballot boxes.
But that is not true for many of the events that are being traded upon in these commercial prediction markets.
Yeah, in the United States, it's actually not really regulated.
It's a wild west of prediction markets, as I would call it.
It's a lacking regulation.
And the current administration in the United States is all gung-ho for everything that's crypto and that's,
Now, new markets.
And in fact, there is a link to crypto because some of these markets actually are based on accepting crypto currencies for investment.
And so that makes it really hard to actually trace who is actually benefiting.
And that's precisely this lack of transparency and lack of accountability that leads me to question these markets when it actually opens the door really wide for insider trading.
Well, if it's like that, people just want to bet on their sporting outcomes, it's like betting.