Wilfred (Wilf) Frost

speaker
2,338 appearances 15 recordings 1 series first heard May 2026 last heard 3 Aug

Wilfred (Wilf) Frost’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
6 · Jun OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 15 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 6.

Appearances

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Let's start with the positives in your research note, which is well worth a read and is, by the way, available publicly. voice-verified
We'll put the link in the show notes. voice-verified
The space business, you think, is unique and has an incredibly strong moat. voice-verified
And in this part of the business, therefore, although it's an expensive business launching things into space, they have a significant cost advantage compared to anybody else. voice-verified
In terms of a sort of positive but perhaps not as positive is Starlink, that's generating a lot of cash for them at the moment in a positive way? voice-verified
So let's move on to the kind of more negative side in your view, and that's then the AI business, which is both a lot more competitive, the likes of OpenAI and Anthropic to name just two, who most people would see as ahead of them, and is also very expensive, consuming a lot of capital and doesn't have the same kind of cost advantages as the space business. voice-verified
And obviously, to stay the obvious, you know, following what we're discussing with Morgan, you know, the big part of that total addressable market is therefore in the business, which you think has the least protective moat in the AI part of the business. voice-verified
In terms of the capital consumption in the years ahead, like, is that what all the money they're raising is going to go towards to this part of the business? voice-verified
Now, obviously, those are the sort of three core parts of the business that we've been touching on. voice-verified
In the S1, there are other sort of moonshots, if you will, or Mars shots, maybe we should call them, which I guess could be successful. voice-verified
But where do you stand on those? voice-verified
And I guess the sort of moonshot, mileshot options aren't going to be the critical thing on the valuation, no matter what. voice-verified
The key, is it fair to say, reason why your price target is half or slightly below half of the $135 price target is what your kind of ascribed execution risk to that AI part of the business. voice-verified
That's the single biggest reason there's a gap, is it? voice-verified
And in that moonshot scenario, what valuation do you get to? voice-verified
So that's the forward looking kind of route to justify the valuation. voice-verified
Just dwell for us on the backward looking point. voice-verified
Where has the valuation come from in the last year or two when it was, you know, just not insiders per se, but core early investors funding this company compared to now broadening out to everybody? voice-verified
I agree. voice-verified
And that is why, Nicholas, we've had you on to this special episode of the Master Investor Podcast focused on the SpaceX IPO. voice-verified
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