Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
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How good do I look? I'm so sun-kissed.
How many buttons down are you? Oh my God, I have three buttons. Look at this. Three buttons. No, look, look, look, look. Is there a button below that we can't see?
No pants. There's no pants.
Are you free-buttoning and free-balling it? Is it both happening or what?
Let your winners ride.
Rain Man, David Sackerson.
Hey everybody, welcome back to the All In Pod. This week, our hostess with the mostess, J-Cal is out with COVID, getting treated, spending the day in bed. We wish him well. We wish him a speedy recovery. We are going to plow forward like all championship teams do. This week, I think we're going to kick it off with a conversation about the election update. Obviously, Harris came out, guns a-blazing in the media. The accolades seem to be flying. And the polling data is starting to become worrisome, it seems, for the Republicans. Just this week, Nate Silver released his newest model update, the Silver Bulletin. I think he's got it trademarked as nowadays. And in the model, he tries to estimate what does the polling data show us with respect to the Electoral College elections? and the popular vote in the upcoming presidential election. Harris currently has a 42.5% probability of winning the electoral college, Trump 56.9%, Kennedy coming in at 0%.
On the popular vote, Harris has a 57.1% probability of winning the popular vote, 42.9% probability for Trump. I guess I'll start it off with David Sachs. given the momentum coming out of the gate since the announcement of Harris as the Democratic nominee and this recent polling data, what's your read on the landscape today? What's your read on where we stand and what's ahead here? And what do you take away from these polls?
Well, look, I think what happened is that Biden dropped out of the race. He abdicated. Harris took over and it created a sense of euphoria on the part of the left because they thought they had a surefire loser with Biden and they were divided. And then once Harris replaced him, they thought, OK, now we got a shot and we can fully unify and get behind this this new candidate. So what you've seen is over the past couple of weeks, the mainstream media has gone all out on behalf of Kamala Harris. And yes, this has led to a rise in the polls. But I think that the highs that Trump were at were always a little bit artificial in the sense that if the Democrats could field a candidate who could campaign, it was always going to be a close election. Biden was artificially...
depressed in the polling because he just couldn't campaign. He could barely read from a prompter. He couldn't do interviews. So I think you're seeing the race normalizing. This is going to be a close one. It's going to be a nail biter. But I think the question about this honeymoon period that Harris has right now is whether it's sustainable. I mean, she has not done any press interviews. She has not done any press conferences. She's not answered one question. She's not been asked one tough question by the media. She has only read... from a teleprompter. She's only done scripted appearances. And yet at the same time, she's basically been changing all of her policy positions and running from every position she ever stood for.
So for example, she said that she was in favor of single payer. Now she's against it. She said she was in favor of court packing. Now she's against it. She said she was against fracking. Now she's in favor of it. On the border, she said that we should consider abolishing ICE. Now all of a sudden she's in favor of more funding for border patrol. on crime, she used to take kind of the BLM position that cops don't make us safer to now she's saying that she's a cop and prosecutor herself. She used to be in favor of federal gun buybacks. Now she's against them. It just goes on and on. I mean, in the 2020 riots, she raised money for the legal defense of rioters. Now she's distancing herself from those positions. My point is this, is that
After spending really her whole career staking out positions on the far left, she has now dropped all of these positions for political expediency. And the question is, what does she stand for at all? Does she just kind of blow with the wind and say whatever helps her win whatever the next election is? I mean, I think that's basically what's going on here.
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