JTP: Bateman Hurt, 2027 Lookahead & Bisons’ Josh Winckowski
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What injuries are affecting the Blue Jays and how do they impact the playoff odds?
So you wanted a reliever used three days in a row, did ya? Ha! Uh that did not work out the way the Toronto Blue Jays hoped, the way Shirley uh we all hoped when we were uh, you know, talking about the possibility of a picture being used three days in a row. Whether it was something they should be doing, weighing the you gotta win every game now with the long-term outlook. The Toronto Blue Jays up three to two in the eighth inning, turn to Tyler Rodgers for a third day in a row. And the league's premier home run suppressor, number one in baseball in limiting the home run, had not surrendered a home run to a right-handed hitter since June of 2025. Serves up a fastball to Pete Alonso that he deposits into left field for his second home run of the game.
Blue Jays lose four to three. Takes the shine off of uh Trey Savage's return, which was fun to see. They also got the extra Kick in the gut of Brett Bateman leaving that game with hip discomfort after sliding for a ball in the second inning in center field. Looked initially like a a knee. Um x-rays were negative for anything bone related. Uh he we will see how he is uh today, but it didn't look great there. Hip discomfort is the uh the official designation there. And then More to the purposes of what this week is all about. The playoff odds are Barely above zero. Now they are above zero. We will not proceed with the show the rest of the week as if they're zero point zero zero zero. Uh, but they are damn close to zero point zero zero zero.
Uh anyway, we'll uh we'll we will start talking about twenty twenty-seven things as we've been doing the last couple weeks and since the trade deadline, really anyway. Uh, but we'll get into some of that later in the show. We'll be joined by Jared Seidler of Baseball Prospectus, who's been going through a project ranking the 30 front offices in baseball. Be a good reflection on what this front office has done well, what this front office could do better, and what the best front offices around baseball are doing. We'll talk to Joe Sittle. Uh I talked to Josh Winkowski on Friday. We'll play that interview. A little later as well. He of the Buffalo Bisons and potentially the uh, you know, competing for a Blue Jays rotation spot in twenty twenty seven based on our conversation with him.
Before we do any of that though, the voice of the Toronto Blue Jays on sports set, Dan Shulman joins us. Dan, how we doing?
Good morning, Blake. How are ya?
I'm all right. You're you're a probabilities guy, you're a math guy. One point one percent. How it's not zero, but how close to zero does that feel given the uh the what ifs and the scenarios that would have to play out the rest of the week?
Uh very, very, very close to zero. So yeah. So uh by my math, they have to go five and oh and have one of Chicago or Cleveland go one and five, or they have to go four and one and have one of Chicago or Cleveland go oh and six. So I mean I think effectively the first two losses in Texas kind of really did it. Yeah. You know, we can go back and and relitigate the Detroit game and the Sacramento games. Like it all started there. Two weeks ago, they were in good they They were in good shape. There was one night where they finished in the third wildcard spot with a better than 50% chance, according to fan graphs, to make the playoffs. But I don't know what it is, five and nine, I think, in their last 14 or something like that.
So and and uh 1.1% feels about right. So and and you know, last night, just another tough night in a series in a season of tough games and tough nights, kind of uh, you're damned if you do, you're you're damned if you don't, you're damned. If you do kind of night for the Blue Jays. And um, you know, I understand you saying you're not going to start talking about 2027 just yet until it's zero. It could be zero after tonight, right? If they lose and both the Guardians and White Sox win, I believe the Blue Jays are eliminated tonight. So I'm sure Joe and I will start kind of going in that direction too, if things keep going in that direction.
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Chapters
8 chapters
1
What injuries are affecting the Blue Jays and how do they impact the playoff odds?
0:09–10:19
2
How does Dan Shulman assess the Blue Jays’ chances of making the playoffs after the recent losses?
10:19–37:47
3
What are the key concerns about Brett Bateman’s hip injury and the front‑office’s 2027 plan?
37:47–1:01:00
4
How did Josh Winkowski’s elbow surgery and rehab shape his potential role for 2027?
1:01:00–1:11:56
5
What does Josh Winkowski say about his pitch mix and recovery strategy?
1:11:56–1:21:35
6
How do Joe Siddle and Jared Seidler evaluate the Blue Jays’ front office performance?
1:21:35–1:33:20
7
What factors do Seidler highlight as strengths and weaknesses of Toronto’s front office?
1:33:20–1:36:07
8
What final takeaways and upcoming topics does the show preview for listeners?
1:36:07–1:39:50