Friday's business news review

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Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam 9 min 2 speakers 2 chapters transcribed
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What are today's business news headlines?

Joe Lynam 0:01
Breakfast Business with Enterprise Ireland on Newstalk. Good morning and welcome to Breakfast Business. And thank you to Eamon Torsney. It is Friday, the 26th of September at 6.30. Coming up on today's show, we'll be talking to an Irish company cutting waste in the medical and clean room environment. And we'll be looking at consumer spending habits and all the markets as usual, including the shock new round of tariffs from Mr. Trump overnight. You can email us business at newstalk.com. But first, let's have a look at the main business stories in the newspapers and websites, which we shall do in the superlative company of Kate English, the chief economist with Deloitte. Good morning, Kate. Good morning, Joe.
Joe Lynam 0:43
Now, Kate, when my alarm went off at five and I checked my phone, I said, oh, God. Yeah, he's done it. He's done it again. He's applying a 25% tariff on heavy truck imports, a 30% tariff on upholstered furniture, a 50% tariff on kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities, and, wait for it, a 100% tariff on branded or patented drugs.
Kate English 1:08
Yeah, so what a news story to wake up to this morning. We haven't had a wake up alarm call like this in quite some while. And I would very much so stress that this is an unfolding news story. When I read it, there's still a lot of questions I would have around it.

How are new tariffs impacting the market?

Kate English 1:26
For example, the pharmaceutical tariffs. Are they the end result of that Section 232 investigation, which was ongoing yesterday? It's not fully clear if that is the case. Does this apply to blocks that would have already agreed trade frameworks with the US administration, for example, the EU, where we know in the end of July, start of August, we reached that trade framework agreement of a 15% cap on tariffs, of which pharmaceuticals was under that as well. So, Certainly, we've come from an environment where even only a few weeks ago, the ECB at their monetary policy decision making were saying that risks were more balanced. Why? Because we had moved away a little bit from some of the volatility around the announcements previously.
Kate English 2:18
when it came to tariffs, there were trade frameworks in place. And that had improved some of the economic outlook or forecasts that were there than what were previously being announced in April and May of this year. So indeed, if these tariffs do follow through, that changes that picture slightly. And I think it would be a really interesting one to watch today how markets react to this. I would expect quite heavily. And also how those questions are answered around the unknowns we have. Do they apply to, for example, the likes of the EU where we have a trade framework in place?
Joe Lynam 2:55
Yeah, I dropped a line to the European Commission already this morning. So I suspect they're going to wake up and be very nervous. They have their midday presser in Brussels, which is 11 hour time. I'm sure there'll be plenty of questions for them about that, given the fact that they reassured all of us that the 15% was a ceiling, that there'd be nothing more on any branch applied in the US. I would watch the share price, I suspect, of Sanofi of France, Roche in Switzerland, and Bayer in Germany to see what they will do.
Kate English 3:24
Yeah, and it's particularly important right now, as well as we know we're only a few weeks away from budget here in Ireland. We've gotten only yesterday updated forecasts from the ESRI looking at the Irish economic outlook that were really our first time we had forecasts based on the current play, state of play with tariffs. And unfortunately, if this morning's news... was to change that. It means we have now outdated forecasts once again. We know we have a vulnerability when it comes to pharmaceuticals within this country. Our corporation taxes are highly exposed to them. And again, that was highlighted in that ESRI report yesterday. So certainly this is not good news to wake up to this morning. But it's those wider questions that keep playing around in my head that we don't have the answers to just yet.
Joe Lynam 4:15
Yeah, and I've just in real time received a message from the European Commission saying that we haven't decided what we are going to do this morning yet, whether they announce it at 11 Irish time or put out a statement beforehand, but they will have to put out a statement.

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