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Business of Betting Podcast

E258 - Adhi Rajaprabhakaran

03 Oct 2025

Description

On this episode of the Business of Betting Podcast, Jeff Edelstein is joined by Adhi Rajaprabhakaran, writer, and author of the Substack 50 Cent Dollars. Hear them discuss: 02:10 – Adhi’s background in economics and how he discovered prediction markets 04:15 – Lessons from trading during January 6th: finding edges in uncertainty 07:00 – Influence of Nate Silver’s The Signal and the Noise on his trading approach 09:50 – Key differences between prediction markets and traditional gambling 12:00 – Why Adhi writes about prediction markets 16:00 – Takeaways from the SEC–CFTC roundtable on prediction markets 20:15 – The introduction of parlays on Kalshi and their industry impact 25:30 – Forecasting when prediction markets could break into the mainstream 27:10 – Market controversies and rule challenges 32:00 – Prediction markets as information vs. sportsbooks as entertainment   Learn more 👇 ➡️ 50 Cent Dollars substack  ➡️ Adhi Rajaprabhakaran on Twitter   ⚡️ Follow BoB on Twitter/X ⚡️ Watch BoB on Youtube   ⚡️ Apply to be a guest here --- This podcast is presented by Optimove, the #1 CRM Marketing solution for the iGaming industry. Since 2012, Optimove has served iGaming Operators from startups to industry leaders. Today, 4 out of the Top 5 US Operators Personalize Player Experiences with Optimove. iGaming operators know their growth journey begins and continues with Optimove, the #1 CRM Marketing solution for the iGaming industry. Get your first month free: https://optimove.com/businessofbetting

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