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Consider This from NPR

What do we know about what's happening in Iran?

12 Jan 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

0.031 - 0.274 Juana Summers

Thank you.

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Chapter 2: What is currently happening in Iran amid the protests?

0.537 - 3.46 Juana Summers

It is difficult to know what's happening in Iran right now.

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3.66 - 8.124 Unknown

The communications blackout started on Thursday night in Iran.

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Chapter 3: How has the communication blackout affected information flow in Iran?

8.184 - 16.411 Unknown

And so it's basically been Thursday since we've heard from them. And it's not just me. It's Iranians across the diaspora, around the world.

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16.712 - 30.544 Juana Summers

Holly Dogris is a senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. She grew up in Iran. Dogris told NPR that she hasn't heard from her family in days because the government there has shut down the Internet and phone communications.

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30.524 - 50.136 Unknown

I know that some people have been able to get a hold of their families and friends. There's been messages pouring in from Starlink if you have a friend, a neighbor, a family member, but that's only 50,000 to 60,000 users across a country of 90 million. So effectively, much of the country, we don't know what's happening inside.

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50.656 - 72.995 Juana Summers

What we do know is this. The country has been rocked by days of large anti-government protests, first sparked by the crippling economy, now anger at the theocratic regime. Videos posted online show streets where protesters are shouting and clapping and images of barricades and lit fires. NPR has not been able to independently authenticate these videos.

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73.817 - 82.531 Juana Summers

More than 500 people have been killed, according to the U.S.-based human rights activist news agency. NPR is unable to independently confirm that figure.

82.911 - 95.732 Unknown

Right now, what Iranians want are two things. They want to have access to the world. But more importantly, they want a democratic transition. They've been calling for this regime to go for a long time.

95.78 - 102.591 Juana Summers

And now President Trump is considering whether to weigh in and how, even though Trump says Iran is willing to negotiate.

102.771 - 105.456 Donald Trump

I think they're tired of being beat up by the United States.

105.476 - 108.621 Juana Summers

Here's Trump talking to reporters on Air Force One on Sunday.

Chapter 4: What are the main causes of the protests in Iran?

212.633 - 233.703 Franco Ordonez

These are mostly protesters and some security force members. This is according to the human rights activists in Iran. They are based here in the U.S. but have monitors in Iran. Now, neither NPR nor other news organization can verify these figures because information is so fragmented from Iran right now. The government has shut down the Internet for the past several days.

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234.144 - 257.633 Franco Ordonez

We are seeing videos on social media, but very little solid information. Local journalists are restrained. Foreign journalists can't get into the country. And over the years, we've seen several outbursts of these large street demonstrations dating back really to 2009. The latest one erupted over miserable economic conditions, but now there are increasing calls to oust the regime.

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258.013 - 263.283 Franco Ordonez

This may well be the biggest challenge to the Islamic government since it came to power in 1979.

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263.543 - 270.135 Juana Summers

And as we heard at the top, President Trump says he is looking at all sorts of options in Iran. Franco, what can you tell us about him?

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270.402 - 291.263 Greg Myrie

Yeah, President Trump said Iran is starting to cross his red lines, but he did not say exactly what they're looking at. But he and his administration say they are weighing several different possibilities, including military and non-military options. And he said after making earlier threats that the leaders of Iran reached out actually over the weekend and want to negotiate.

291.243 - 311.117 Greg Myrie

Now, his team is working on a meeting, but he also said they might have to act sooner if this violence that Greg is talking about continues. Trump's expected to meet with his national security team tomorrow about Iran. Iran actually has responded as well, warning that U.S. bases could be considered a legitimate target if the U.S.

Chapter 5: How many casualties have occurred during the protests?

311.177 - 323.722 Greg Myrie

goes through with the strike. But Press Secretary Caroline Leavitt called those comments laughable today. and said on Fox News that the regime is saying one thing publicly and saying something very different privately to the administration.

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324.023 - 331.138 Juana Summers

But is President Trump's goal really to protect protesters? I mean, he's not exactly known for fighting for human rights. What kind of deal is he seeking?

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331.186 - 350.725 Greg Myrie

Yeah, he's definitely not known for fighting for human rights. But let's also remember that he did order military strikes on Syrian targets during his first administration in response to chemical attacks by the Assad regime. At that time, he talked about his red line being crossed as well. and specifically cited the image of choking children.

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350.785 - 368.725 Greg Myrie

Now today or this weekend, Trump also said he would talk with billionaire Elon Musk about possibly getting Starlink, Musk's satellite internet service, to help with communications in Iran. But what Trump really wants, and this is something he's wanted for a long time, is a deal that permanently prevents Iran from getting nuclear weapons.

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369.666 - 375.452 Juana Summers

Franco, what kind of feedback is President Trump getting from Congress, U.S. allies, other countries in the Middle East?

375.618 - 398.993 Greg Myrie

Well, he's always bouncing ideas off his friends and allies. One close ally, Senator Lindsey Graham, for example, is urging Trump to kill, quote, kill the leaders of Iran who are killing protesters. Graham argued on Fox News that taking out the supreme leaders would lead to peace and a new day in the Middle East. Now, of course, other lawmakers have expressed caution about taking military action.

398.973 - 412.494 Greg Myrie

We've also heard one from the exiled crown prince of Iran who has called on Trump to intervene. Trump was asked if he'd meet with the crown prince by a conservative radio host, Hugh Hewitt. But Trump said it would not be appropriate right now to do that.

413.195 - 417.842 Juana Summers

Greg, if we can, let's just take a step back here and talk about how Iran's leadership has become so vulnerable.

Chapter 6: What actions is President Trump considering regarding Iran?

417.822 - 438.28 Franco Ordonez

Yeah, Iran has really suffered this series of major setbacks in the past two years. First, among its proxy network in the region and now at home, it really starts, Juana, with the Hamas attack in Israel in October of 2023. Israel's harsh response decimated Hamas, which has been supported by Iran.

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438.821 - 462.746 Franco Ordonez

And a year later, the fall of 2024, Israel delivered another powerful blow, this time to Hezbollah in Lebanon, which Iran also backs. Right after that, Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad fled, removing another ally. Iran invested billions and used these groups to project power in the region. Suddenly, they're all gone or badly weakened. And then Israel and the U.S.

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462.766 - 473.698 Franco Ordonez

teamed up and bombed Iran last June. They hit the nuclear facilities, but they also exposed the weakness of Iran's defenses. And now we're seeing these mass protests challenging the regime.

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473.678 - 476.943 Juana Summers

And Greg, what options does the Iranian leadership have at this point?

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477.343 - 501.956 Franco Ordonez

Well, they're limited and they're not good ones. The traditional playbook is to unleash the Revolutionary Guards to crush the protests. That worked previously. It may work again. But it doesn't address the fundamental grievances on living standards, and that will keep eroding any support the regime might have left. Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah al-Khamenei, is 86. He's been in power 37 years.

502.397 - 507.621 Franco Ordonez

He's been good at holding power, but he's failed to meet the day-to-day needs of Iranians.

508.081 - 532.44 Juana Summers

NPR's Greg Myrie and Franco Ordonez, thanks to both of you. Sure thing, Wanda. Thank you. This episode was produced by Karen Zamora with audio engineering by Becky Brown and Josephine Neonai. It was edited by Andrew Sussman, Rebecca Metzler, and Courtney Dorney. Our executive producer is Sammy Yannigan. It's Consider This from NPR. I'm Juana Somers.

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