Afternoon Report | ASX flat as rate hike looms

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FEAR & GREED | Business News 5 min 1 speaker 7 chapters transcribed just now
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

Michael Thompson 0:03
Welcome to the Fear and Greed Business News Afternoon Report for Monday, the 21st of September 2026. I'm Michael Thompson, and every afternoon we've got the five stories that happened today that you need to know about. Let's go. Story number one: the local share market finished almost exactly where it closed on Friday as investors prepare for what now looks like an almost certain interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank next week.

Why is the ASX staying flat as a rate hike approaches?

Michael Thompson 0:26
The SP ASX 200 actually fell. On opening before recovering throughout the day to finish less than one point higher, closing at 8,732 points. Markets are now fully pricing in a lift in the cash rate to 4.6%. ANZ and Commonwealth Bank both changed their forecasts today, meaning all four big banks now expect a hike Tuesday of next week. Rate-sensitive tech stocks were among the weakest performers today.

How are investors reacting to the expected 4.6% cash rate increase?

Michael Thompson 0:53
Zero, for instance, fell more than 4%. Next DC lost more than 3%. Oil did offer a little bit of relief. Brent crude dropping about 2% to below $102 US dollars a barrel. The best performers today, though, were the financials, all the big banks gained ground, and the healthcare stocks, despite TLX pharmaceuticals falling almost 12% after agreeing to buy a German company for On to story number two, now one from politics, where Labor's primary vote has fallen to 27%, its lowest level in news poll since 2012, as the government confronts growing voter dissatisfaction amid cost of living pressures and those expectations of further interest rate rises.

What does Labor’s primary vote drop to 27% mean for Australian politics?

Michael Thompson 1:40
Labor's primary vote has fallen two points since the last survey.
Michael Thompson 1:58
The Greens 13%. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's net approval rating fell to minus 27, with 35% satisfied with his performance versus 62%. Said dissatisfied. Interestingly, the combined labor and coalition primary vote is now just 46%, highlighting really what is a bit of a shift now away from the two major parties. On to story number three, I mentioned TLX pharmaceuticals before, but there are a couple of other MA deals in the news today, though in both instances it's because the bidders have been knocked back. Perpetual

Why were the Perpetual and Ingenia Communities takeover bids rejected?

Michael Thompson 2:35
Tumbled 15% today after it rejected a revised $2.6 billion takeover bid from Swedish private equity giant EQT, ending months of negotiations between the two. And Ingenia Communities confirmed that it has rejected a non-binding indicative proposal from American private equity firm Warburg Pincus to acquire 100% of the company at $5. And five cents a share. Its share price rose 0.7% today, and it's trading well below the offer price, so maybe there is a bit still to play out on that one. Story number four, Australia Post Chair and former News Corp executive Siobhan McKenna has been appointed Australia's next Consul General in New York. McKenna will replace Heather Ridout when her term ends later this year.
Michael Thompson 3:24
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced the appointment in New York today, saying McKenna's experience across the private and public sectors would bring significant financial and economic expertise to the role. McKenna was previously News Corp's chief executive of broadcasting, and a close advisor as well to Lochland Murdoch. She's also chaired NBN Co.

What experience does Siobhan McKenna bring to her new role as Consul General in New York?

Michael Thompson 3:44
and served as a director of Woolworths and a commissioner at the Productivity Commission. And finally, story number five, one out of the U.S., where the President Donald Trump says that his planned triumphal arch in Washington will now double as a military complex with space for drones, snipers, and ammunition. Trump says that he is changing the plans at the request of the U.S. military for national security reasons. The 76-meter high arch is planned for a site across the Potomac. River from Washington near the Arlington National Cemetery. The proposed structure will, when it's finished, or when it's built, will dwarf the nearby Lincoln Memorial. It will feature a golden Lady Liberty statue on top, flanked by two gold eagles.

How will Donald Trump’s revised triumphal arch function as a military complex?

Michael Thompson 4:32
It will be quite the sight. And that is it for the afternoon report for Monday, the 21st of September. Make sure you're following the podcast. Podcast and head along to fearandgreed.com.au to sign up for our free daily newsletter.

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