Unemployment won’t stop rate hike; Albo fury over OpenAI hack; 5-min EV charging

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Why won’t rising unemployment stop the Reserve Bank’s next rate hike?

Michael Thompson 0:06
Welcome to Fear and Greed, business news you can use. Today the unemployment rate rises, but it won't stop a rate hike. Prime Minister Anthony Ubenese, furious over an open AI research model hacking Medicare. And Chinese EV manufacturer Geely promises less than five minute charging. Plus, more bad news from the retail sector, and get ready for faceless Apple Watches. and treadmills from stationery bike maker Peloton. It is Friday, the twenty fifth of september, twenty twenty six. I'm Michael Thompson, and good morning, Sean Aylmer. Morning, Michael. After all that bad news yesterday I thought we
Sean Aylmer 0:43
should
Michael Thompson 0:44
get some good news in the show today. Yeah, I'm assuming that's coming later. Very good point. Australia's unemployment rate has risen to four point six percent, Sean. That is the highest level since twenty twenty-one. But it is unlikely to prevent an interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank next week. The economy added thirty-nine thousand five hundred jobs in August. That is almost double expectations. Although the gain We're entirely in part-time work. Full-time employment actually fell by 6,300 jobs. The unemployment rate rose by four from 4.5% to 4.6% as more Australians entered the workforce. The participation rate climbed to 67.1%. The underemployment rate, which shows the number of people who want to work more.
Michael Thompson 1:38
That fell.
Sean Aylmer 1:40
Yeah. The unemployment rate wasn't good news, obviously, but there's still a fair bit in that jobs market. Reserve Bank Governor Michelle Bullock this week said that unemployment between four and a half and five percent would probably remove enough heat from the labor market to ease inflation pressure. So at four point six percent, unemployment is definitely not going to deter the RBA from lifting rates. The bank's bigger concern, of course, inflation. Inflation, employment is still growing, participation is higher, the labour market continues to sport household income and spending, therefore, rate hike on Tuesday.
Michael Thompson 2:14
Hm. Uh there's also reason uh for a bit of caution around this month's figures. Um The ABS actually changed its survey methodology for August and it recommends focusing on the underlying trend, which is welcome news to us because of course, Sean. The trend is always your friend. And that trend also shows unemployment at four point six percent. So really pretty much the same result, right? Uh while employment grew one point six percent over the year.
Sean Aylmer 2:45
We're basically looking for ways to suggest the rise in unemployment could delay a rate hike here, aren't we? But um, you know, the data doesn't support our thesis. What's interesting is the rising trend participation rate over the past four months. Now we know the trend is your friend. The trend is more people looking for jobs. Maybe that's a response to higher living costs and mortgage repayments. Maybe. The message here, a hike next week remains firmly on the table, but the gradual rise in unemployment suggests previous increases are starting to bite. That could make any further increase later this year more dependent on the next round of inflation and jobs data.
Michael Thompson 3:20
All right. Away from economics now, Sean. Uh Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has demanded answers from OpenAI boss Sam Altman after one of the company's AI agents gained unauthorized access to Medicare and three other Australian government websites. This is a pretty incredible story, this one. The internal OpenAI research model allegedly worked around blocks designed to store. stop it accessing restricted material while it was searching for Australian public health statistics. So you would think kind of fairly inoffensive data, but it kind of went in the back door to try and find it. It also accessed sites operated by uh the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, uh the New South Wales Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, and the Victorian Health Department.
Sean Aylmer 4:09
OpenAI says there is no evidence patient records were accessed with material including aggregate health statistics and internal file names. What it does really expose is the vulnerability of the government's IT defences and just how little control Australia exerts over these foreign tech giants, and that's probably why Albanese was so upset.

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