AI wakes up the sleepy US power sector

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FT News Briefing 12 min 4 speakers 4 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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Sonja Hutson 0:04
Good morning from the Financial Times. Today is Monday, June 29th, and this is your FT News Briefing. The sleepy U.S. utility sector is getting more exciting, and the U.K. prime minister-in-waiting is going to make some big economic promises. Plus, can the U.S., Mexico, and Canada agree to renew their trade deal?
Amy Williams 0:26
There has been growing concern from U.S. officials in Washington that other countries, mainly China, have been taking advantage of the deal.
Sonja Hutson 0:36
I'm Sonia Hudson, and here's the news you need to start your day.
Sonja Hutson 0:50
American energy and utility companies are closing bigger deals than ever before.

How is the AI boom transforming dealmaking in the US power and utility sector?

Sonja Hutson 0:55
Murders and acquisitions in the sector have hit $204 billion in value for the first five months of this year. That's 40% higher than all of last year. The uptick in deals is part of the corporate race to build AI data centers. Energy companies are providing the massive amounts of power these centers need to operate. Here with me to break things down is the FT's U.S. Energy Editor, Jamie Smith. Hi, Jamie.
Jamie Smith 1:23
Hi.
Sonja Hutson 1:24
So what did you find when you were looking into these deals?
Jamie Smith 1:28
So we had a huge deal earlier this year. NextEra agreed to acquire the utility Dominion. And that got me thinking as to what's happening across the whole utility and power sector. So we asked Deloitte, an accountancy firm, to crunch the numbers on this. And really... What we're seeing is that in all the utility and power sectors, you know, covering gas generation assets, renewables and electricity networks, we're just seeing lots of transactions. Their value is a lot higher than you normally get. And really, we think this is due to this AI power demand that we're seeing.
Sonja Hutson 2:10
Yeah. Tell me more about the connections between these deals and AI data centers.
Jamie Smith 2:17
It's really because AI data centers use a ton of electricity. So analysts are forecasting that electricity demand in the United States is going to rise as much as 25% by 2030. Now that's really an incredible number when you think in the previous two decades that electricity demand in the United States was basically flatlining. So that's really changed the game for utilities and power companies here. And they're having to invest huge amounts of capital to try and build the new generation and grid networks that are required to support this surge in construction of AI data centers. So I think what's happening to really catalyze all these M&A deals is it's a combination of companies seeing new growth opportunities, but also an urgent need for them to raise money to build new infrastructure.
Jamie Smith 3:10
You know, typically the utility sector was considered a rather sleepy and actually quite a boring sort of part of the energy sector. But this AI boom is really changing that and it's attracted a lot of companies looking to do deals.
Sonja Hutson 3:26
Now, American utility companies are mostly monopolies that are highly regulated by the government. Could that complicate these deals?
Jamie Smith 3:36
I think what's going to happen is that these companies will remain monopolies and potentially become bigger monopolies if the deals are allowed to go through. One thing about a monopoly is typically you see less competition and that could raise prices for consumers. Now what the companies are saying when they're doing some of these deals is that they're arguing that by being bigger monopolies, they can raise money at lower costs than rivals and that they can actually lower the electricity prices for the consumer. Consumer advocates and some politicians, they do not agree with NextEra and the utilities arguments. So they're likely to closely scrutinize these utility deals. And in fact, senators, including Elizabeth Warren, have already begun an investigation into the rollout of all these AI data centers and the impact they're having on raising electricity costs.
Jamie Smith 4:31
So regulatory scrutiny will remain a high bar for some of these transactions.
Sonja Hutson 4:36
Well, looking ahead, Jamie, do you think that we can expect to see a lot more of these deals coming?
Jamie Smith 4:42
I think it's going to really come down to the local regulators in the power markets where these things are happening.

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