Fed interest rate rises are back

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FT News Briefing 12 min 3 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 6 hours ago
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Why did the Federal Reserve decide to raise interest rates now?

Sonja Hutson 0:02
Good morning from the Financial Times. Today is Thursday, September seventeenth, and this is your FT News briefing. US interest rates are going up, and the EU wants to stop a flood of hybrid cars made in China. Plus, we look at how artificial intelligence is changing warfare. I'm Sonia Hudson, Informark Filipino, and here's the news you need to start your day.
Sonja Hutson 0:37
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point yesterday for the first time since 2023. At a press conference after the unanimous decision, Fed Chair Kevin Wars said that inflation has been above target for too long.
Kevin Warsh 0:53
Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the committee's two percent goal. This committee will deliver price stability.
Sonja Hutson 1:03
Warsh was up against more than just sticky inflation heading into this meeting. He's also faced a major sell-off in the bond market and US President Donald Trump calling for lower interest rates. The FT's US economics editor, Claire Jones, is here to talk about it. Hi, Claire. Hi, Sonia. So, why did Warsh say the Federal Reserve opted to raise rates now? I mean, inflation has been above the two percent target for years.

How does the Fed’s dual mandate influence its rate‑hike decision?

Claire Jones 1:30
Well, absolutely, more than five years, in fact. So the rationale for acting now, which Walsh gave yesterday at the press conference, was that the recent news on inflation has suggested that the Feds not be making much progress in terms of lowering it towards its target.
Kevin Warsh 1:48
The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long. This summer's inflation readings do not tell me that underlying trends have meaningfully improved.
Claire Jones 2:03
The other aspect of it was that Walsh and the rest of the committee were very bullish on the US economy.
Kevin Warsh 2:10
Given that resilience and the potential for even greater performance, an attitude of optimism is exactly what I heard inside the FOMC these last two days.
Claire Jones 2:21
And the other part of the Fed's dual mandate, which is not about inflation but about the labour market, is an area in which he thinks quite a lot of progress has been made. We've seen a very good jobs report for last month.
Kevin Warsh 2:39
So the labor side of the Fed's congressional remit is in good shape. So our predominant focus is on the price stability side of our mandate.
Claire Jones 2:49
And I think that's really convinced Walsh and others on the committee that they can afford to raise rates without damaging growth and jobs.
Sonja Hutson 2:58
Claire, the other thing I'm wondering about is just how effective raising interest rates will be on lowering inflation, given that one of the biggest factors in this recent surge of price pressures has been the war in Iran and Warsh doesn't have control over that.
Claire Jones 3:15
I think that's true. The raising interest rates, especially by a quarter point, is not a cure all. But what I think this move does do is address some very real concerns headed into this meeting that the Fed and Walsh in particular wasn't credible when it came to a commitment to bring inflation back under control. And it will help reassure investors in those bond markets that you mentioned earlier that Fed independence remains and that will do some good, I think.

What is the EU’s plan to limit Chinese hybrid‑car exports to Europe?

Sonja Hutson 3:48
Now, President Donald Trump wanted a very different outcome from this meeting. He's called for lower interest rates, and there's been some concern about him eroding the independence of the Fed. What did Warsh have to say about Trump?
Claire Jones 4:02
Well, he got the question and he chuckled and then said very little.
Ursula von der Leyen 4:08
What is your message here to President Trump who has repeatedly called to cut interest rates, not raise them?
Kevin Warsh 4:14
Um I've got nothing for you on uh on on a discussion with the president.
Claire Jones 4:20
Walsh was savvy enough yesterday to not get drawn into saying anything that might um exacerbate issues that the Fed has with the White House. The mood music around this in recent days has been that, you know, while this isn't a decision that the White House will like, it did after all nominate Walsh with a view to seeing him cut US borrowing costs, not raise them. He's unlikely to face the sort of insults that his predecessor Jerome Powell got from the US president.

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