Chapter 1: What matches are previewed in this episode?
This is the European show. Let's make that fucking money. Thank you. Time to bring on your goat.
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And on exits at Lock Bank SS, the SS, of course, stands for spreadsheets because I'm the only person who bothers to post my spreadsheets as far as I've seen. Unless there's somebody else out there I'm not aware of, then let me know. So let's move on with this super European show combining all of the European leagues.
We start in Germany with Bayern Munich as we usually start Bundesliga shows this way. So it's always good to get Bayern on the show. They're 1-5 favourites today at home to Union Berlin. It's 8-1 on the draw. And Union Berlin here are a 12-1 underdog. Bayern Munich obviously steamrolling their way to this title. Nine points clear with eight games to go. Union are in mid-table.
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Chapter 2: How is Bayern Munich performing ahead of their match?
Real Madrid are four points behind Barcelona. So Barcelona need to continue winning. And I think they'll pick up a win here at home to Real Vallecano. Barcelona and BTTS or Barcelona and over three and a half goals are both fine. I don't really have any kind of strong lean towards either one of the two plays.
Barcelona are the only team in La Liga to have scored in every single one of their 28 games so far this season. So we never have to worry about them scoring goals. Barcelona have been an absolute machine at home. They have won 18 of their 20 home games in La Liga. They're unbeaten in seven of the last eight matches. Real Vallecano, they come here in poor form.
They failed to win any of the last eight away games. During four of their last five games, Four of the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides have seen both teams score. Barcelona have won six of their last eight league games by at least two goals. Barcelona almost always concede.
So if they are going to win this by a margin, they're probably going to need to score at least three times to make sure they do it. Barcelona come into this one with no clean sheets in any of their last three matches. Real Vallecano have no clean sheet in their last four. Over two and a half goals has cashed in eight of the last 10 Barcelona games.
BTTS has cashed in five of the last seven games involving Raul Vallecano, who haven't kept a clean sheet in any of the last six head-to-heads against Barcelona. So give me Barcelona and BTTS and give me Barcelona and over three and a half goals. They're the two players I like for this game. Cannot split them. And that's what we're going to be doing here for this game.
Up next, we stay in Spain and we will be looking at the Madrid derby between Real Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid. Massive game. A must-win game for Real Madrid because, as I said, I expect Barcelona to win and this will put more pressure on Real Madrid. Real Madrid are the even money favourites to win it. It's 3-1 on the draw and it's 13-5 on Atletico.
With about 20 minutes in his legs on Tuesday, does that mean Kylian Mbappe will be able to start? And how important is he when you can destroy Man City at home without him, without Militao, without Rodrigo, without Jude Bellingham? So this is a Real Madrid team who showed in that performance against Man City that they can rise to the big occasion.
And this is a massive one because bragging rights are important in Madrid. I do fancy Madrid to get it done. They are on a four game win streak. Atletico have lost three of the last five away games. This should be a game that delivers goals, though. I like over two and a half goals. I like BTTS. Both teams have scored in 12 of the last 13 meetings between these two sides.
But overall, I think Real Madrid will take the bragging rights here. They are the better team. They are the better team when it comes to form as well. Four successive wins coming into this one. They've won nine of the last ten at home.
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Chapter 3: What are the betting insights for Borussia Dortmund vs. Hamburg?
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