In episode 489, we examine three factors that contributed to this week's big stock market declines, analyze whether a recession is imminent, and review David's recent portfolio changes.Topics covered include:The benefits of looking at market and economic trends monthlyHow bad was the recent U.S. employment report and what is the Sahm RuleWhat are leading economic indicators saying about recession riskWhy the Federal Reserve will be lowering its policy rate, leading to lower cash yieldsWhy the Japanese yen strengthened, leading to market turmoilWhy investors are rotating from large cap growth to small cap value stocksHow David locked in higher yieldsSponsorsNetSuiteMonarch Money – Get an extended 30-day free trialInsiders Guide Email NewsletterGet our free Investors' Checklist when you sign up for the free Money for the Rest of Us email newsletterOur Premium ProductsAsset CampMoney for the Rest of Us PlusShow NotesTranscript of Chair Powell’s FOMC Press Conference July 31, 2024—The Federal ReserveGoolsbee Says Fed Won’t Overreact to One Month’s Data by Catarina Saraiva and Ananya Chag—BloombergCongressional Budget Office Updates Baseline: Deficit Spending is 27 Percent Higher Than Previously Estimated—U.S. House Budget CommitteeInvestments MentionedVanguard Growth ETF (VUG)Vanguard Small Cap Value (VBR)iShares International Developed Small Cap Value Factor ETF (ISVL)Invesco BulletShares 2031 Corporate Bond ETF (BSCV) iShares Large Cap Max Buffer ETF (MAXJ)BlackRock AAA CLO ETF (CLOA)Related Episodes485: Should You Invest in Defined Outcome (Buffer) ETFs?476: Is Small Cap Dead? Why You Shouldn’t Abandon Small Company Stocks472: Is the Economy as Bad as People Think?464: More Ways to Lock in Higher Yields in Case Interest Rates Fall463: How to Lock in Higher Yields in Case Interest Rates Fall423: A “Safe” 6% Yield: The Case for Investment Grade CLOs302: Investing is Not KnowingSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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“What did the council decide on item 42?” — answered with the speaker and the moment.