Trump’s Seismic Economic Shift | 2.15.25

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What economic changes has President Trump announced?

John Bickley 0:03
President Trump has rolled into office announcing seismic changes to U.S. trade, energy and economic policies, including reciprocal tariffs, slashing regulations and downsizing the federal government. The changes come as the final inflation report from the last month of the Biden administration showed an uptick in inflation, including 4 percent increases in housing costs.

How will Trump's policies impact inflation and trade?

John Bickley 0:25
In this episode, we talk with financial expert Eric Schiffer about the impact Trump's policies will have on inflation, trade, and American industry. I'm Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief John Bickley with Georgia Howe. It's Saturday, February 15th, and this is a weekend edition of Morning Wire. The latest inflation report for January came in higher than expected, up 0.5% with housing up 4%. President Trump is calling it Biden's inflation. Joining us to discuss is Eric Schiffer, CEO of the Los Angeles-based private equity firm, the Patriarch Organization. Eric, first, thank you so much for joining us. It is my pleasure. So look, we've got this recent inflation report that's come out showing inflation ticking up last month. What numbers jump out to you?

What does the latest inflation report reveal?

John Bickley 1:12
What should the American people know?
Eric Schiffer 1:14
Look, there are some concern about elements within the report that may be lasting. But in reality, some of the report is likely to change in a good way for the market and for the economy in that housing typically has a long delay. So what you're seeing is likely to go down and you can't read anything over one report. I mean, and it's largely what you saw in terms of the reaction from the market was consistent with that, which is that the market has discounted one report. I think if we saw some of the indicators like housing, for instance, or shelter that was unlikely to begin to recede, it would be another thing. Now, look, tariffs can short-term create some challenges, but I think there are also other factors at play here that will allow inflation over the next year to be largely within a range that's manageable for the economy.
John Bickley 2:16
There's a lot you said there that I want to unpack. First, why are you optimistic about the housing situation in particular?
Eric Schiffer 2:22
I think in part because of the way the data is recorded. So there's a lag period. And if you look at some of the more recent data, it's far more beneficial in terms of numbers. And again, it's structured on a delayed system. So you're not getting real time data. You're getting sort of an accumulated set of data. And I think it's optimistic for the future. Again, you know, you can have these spikes and it doesn't mean that we're heading back into a period like we did with the pandemic where, you know, the inflation was draconian and it was very powerful and caused a lot of challenges, including the Fed. And you saw the way the Fed reacted to this. I mean, they they didn't say that. things wouldn't get under control.
Eric Schiffer 3:09
What they said is we're just going to have to watch it more. And I think that's the case. I don't think that there's anything at this point for investors or certainly consumers to be concerned about.
John Bickley 3:21
You mentioned the Fed there. We had several interest rate cuts last year. Jerome Powell testified earlier this week that he doesn't know when we may have another one. Where do you fall on cutting rates? Do we need another cut?
Eric Schiffer 3:34
I don't think you need to have to cut rates just yet. One of the considerations that I think the administration is looking at is how do we take down the 10-year rate? And the tenure is ultimately going to sort based on how well the deficit is managed. And when you have Elon, who's going to town, taking out all of the junk and the corruption and what has been systemic overspending, that message to the market, I think it also will help to take So you'll see financial engineering in which I think the tenure will come down. And ultimately, the Fed will drive rates down in time as they get comfort that inflation is not going to rear itself. But in reality, when you think about interest rates, the tenure has a bigger driver on mortgages and other kinds of financing. And that's something the administration can control. They don't need Powell to do anything with that. And they control it through some of the mechanics that is underway, which is reducing the deficit, which is a good thing for the country.

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