Ep. 2069 - Trump’s CRUISING, Kamala’s CRASHING

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The Ben Shapiro Show 56 min 8 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 6 hours ago
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What is the current state of momentum in the 2024 presidential race?

Ben Shapiro 0:00
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Ben Shapiro 0:36
We'll get to that in a moment. First, in one week at My Racist, the decade's number one documentary streams exclusively on Daily Wire Plus. That is coming October 28th. Remember, you need a Daily Wire Plus membership to watch. Join right now at dailywire.com/slash subscribe. You Use code DEI for 35% off your new membership. Do not miss out. Okay, so the state of the race, we are now two weeks out from the election. Donald Trump currently has all the momentum. Not some of the momentum, all the momentum. And this has been a wild race because the momentum shifts have been insane. When Joe Biden was in the race, then Donald Trump had all the momentum. And then Joe Biden dropped out of the race, and Kamala Harris was put into the middle of the race, and suddenly there was joy, and suddenly there was wonder, and all the momentum shifted over to the Democrats.
Ben Shapiro 1:18
And then the air slowly came out of the balloon. And it appears that Donald Trump has regained momentum, not only in the swing states, but nationally. Right now. In the battleground states, according to the Real Clear Politics polling average, Donald Trump leads in Michigan. He leads in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia. Again, if he were to win the election, all he needs to do is win Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia. And one of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, he is currently leading in the polling average in all three, according to Real Clare Politics. He also happens to be leading in Nevada. So if the election were held today, no toss-ups, he would win 312 electoral votes according to that real clear politics polling average.
Ben Shapiro 1:55
In the national average, the spread is in favor of Harris by one point, but Of the last six polls that have been taken, Donald Trump is now leading in four of them. So that essentially means that nationally speaking, it's a toss-up. If it's a toss-up nationally, Trump is going to win the election. In order for Kamala Harris to win this election, she probably needs to be up at least two and a half to three points in the popular vote. She does not appear to have those numbers behind her right now, unless the polls are very, very wrong. What's more, her campaign is flagging. She is totally disconnected from the American people. In fact, according to the Wall Street Journal, the way she is attempting to reach out now, she has been relegated to reaching out to the Liz Cheney voter.
Ben Shapiro 2:33
There aren't that many of them, folks. The people who just love Liz Cheney so much, the the disaffected Republicans who love Liz Cheney, and now are going to move on over from Donald Trump to Kamala Harris, those people are incredibly rare. That number is vanishingly small. But according to the Wall Street Journal, Harris, who sharpened her criticisms of Donald Trump over the weekend, is expected to hold events on Monday with former GOP representative Liz Cheney in suburbs in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. That have been shifting away from the Republican Party. She is also hosting separate get out the vote rallies later in the week with former President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama in Georgia and Michigan.
Ben Shapiro 3:07
Swing states where Harris needs to run up large margins in the urban centers and suburbs. So she's now relying on a sort of halo effect of the Obamas to bring out the black vote in Georgia and Michigan.

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