Ep. 2300 - The Democrats Have BIG Problems…But Will Republicans BLOW IT?
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
A lot coming up on today's show. We'll get into the latest polls on 2026. Are Democrats just flailing around? How could they possibly win back power? Is there any shot at all? Maybe it would have to do with Republicans doing something incredibly stupid. We'll get to all of that first. Last week on the debut episode of Friendly Fire, we announced Daily Wire lifetime memberships. We mentioned only 10,000 exist. They are going fast, but here is something new. You can actually win a lifetime membership. Download that free DailyWire Plus app in the App Store, open the app, tap Explore, and then follow me. That enters you for a chance to win a lifetime membership. You'll also get alerts when I release new episodes, breaking news, live chat during the show, and much more.
If you've already downloaded the app and followed, you're already entered. For everyone else, get to work. Download that DailyWire Plus app and follow me today. Also... You can still order your signed copy of Lions and Scavengers right now, only available at dailywire.com slash shop. It's not just a book, it's a rallying cry against the lies poisoning Western civilization. We're coming up on the holiday season. These are excellent gifts for the real lions in your life. Don't wait to secure your signed copy. We've had massive demand for these, so you need to order right now. Go to dailywire.com slash shop today. Well, Democrats have some major, major problems. We are about one year out from the midterm elections at this point, and it is worthwhile noting that in the RealClearPolitics polling average right now for 2026, Democrats are not in great shape in the generic congressional vote.
According to RealClearPolitics, they are leaning by about 1.6 points That is about a year out, 1.6 points. Now, that is not very much at all. I mean, that is margin of error stuff. And in fact, every single poll over the course of the last month has the margin between three points Democrat and one point Republican. So there are no polls showing Democrats with a significant advantage on the 2026 generic congressional ballot. To give you a little bit of history here, just so you understand, how these things stack up. In 2018, when Democrats had a great election, 2018, that was the off-year election in the first Trump term, Democrats netted 40 seats in the House and ended up taking the House by a significant majority.
The RealClearPolitics polling average has had Democrats on election day in the generic congressional average up 8.4 points, Again, today, it's like 1.6 points. In 2022, when Republicans won nine seats, which was a very narrow victory for Republicans, the real clear Pollock's polling average had Republicans up 2.8 points. And there are significantly fewer competitive battleground districts this time around, thanks to both redistricting and population movement. According to Cook Political, there are effectively eight seats that are Republican toss up seats held by Republicans, but could theoretically move Democrat. There are 10 Democrat toss up seats, including seats in California, Maine, New York, Ohio and Texas.
So what does that mean? Well, it means that this could be an unbelievably close election at best for Democrats. And there is the significant possibility if redistricting does, in fact, occur in Texas. that Republicans retain the House. Democrat chances right now are plummeting. And part of that is because they have no narrative whatsoever. They have major problems on their hands. So they trotted out this No Kings protest over the weekend. They got some 7 million people to show up. Now, the thing about gigantic mass protests like this is if they have no crossover appeal, it makes no difference at all. Remember, 7 million people. If you look at the popular vote in 2024, then what you notice is that Kamala Harris won some 75 million votes.
So getting 7 million Kamala Harris voters out into the streets to be angry at President Trump, that doesn't mean anything. Right. That's less than a tenth of the number of people who actually voted for Kamala Harris.
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Chapters
4 chapters
1
What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
0:00–3:57
2
How bad do current 2026 generic congressional polls look for Democrats?
3:57–12:11
3
Why won't mass “No Kings” protests necessarily translate to electoral wins?
12:11–48:41
4
How is the government shutdown affecting public opinion and Trump's approval?
48:41–49:53
Speakers
5 identifiedMore from The Ben Shapiro Show
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