Ohio State vs. TCU NCAA Tournament picks, plus Final Four predictions
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What are the key details of the Ohio State vs. TCU matchup?
Welcome back to the Bill and Doug show. We're making some picks for the NCAA tournament. That means Ohio State versus TCU on Thursday. That means final four picks and national championship picks. Doug Lamoury and Bill Landis. Bill Landis is in South Carolina. Ohio State is opening up the tournament against TCU on Thursday. It's the first game on CBS. Is that cool or is that weird? That's a good question. I guess as someone who's covering the tournament, I'd probably prefer Ohio State to be a later game so I can watch a little more of the stuff early. I don't know. I guess them being first means I can watch stuff at night, so maybe it doesn't matter. Ohio State seemed to me like a team that was sort of eager to get out of bed and get playing rather than sit around all day.
I think teams probably would prefer that. You hear that with football teams too, right? For as much as fans prefer to not have noon kicks, football teams love noon kicks because they don't have to sit around all day waiting for the game to happen. Yeah. I will say it's like I guess Ohio State played Michigan at noon and played them well on Friday, the Big Ten tournament. That's a decent test for this, right? Because otherwise, you don't play a lot of noon games during the season. Both of its Big Ten tournament games against Iowa and Michigan were noon games. Actually, they were 11 a.m. games, local time, in Chicago. Played well against Iowa and won. Played well against Michigan and lost. I'm trying to think.
Purdue was like a 130 tip, I think, the game that Ohio State won at the shot. So that was an earlier one. I do believe, though, not to conjure bad luck, I believe when Ohio State lost to Dayton in the NCAA tournament, that was the first game on Thursday. Oh. I was there and Ari and I ran out of gas on the way home from Buffalo. Buffalo, right? Yeah. Never let me forget it. two and a half point spread for this game. Ohio State is favored. The over under on the point total is a 146 and a half. Are you surprised that Ohio State's favored or do you think that's the right read on this game? No, all of the like power rating efficiency numbers and stuff favor Ohio State. So I'm not surprised they're favored. Yeah, so like they're right now, Ohio State's like kind of significantly better in Kempom, right?
Ohio State's 26th, TCU's 43rd. You had some interesting numbers about like late in the year in some of the numbers, like Ohio State's analytically very good at the last month. Yeah, last 30 days, which for Ohio State includes its last eight games where it has gone five and three. This is according to Bart Torvik.com, which is basically it's similar formula to compound slightly different, but you can sort by date. So last 30 days, top five teams in the country, Duke, number one seed. Arizona, number one seed. Michigan, number one seed. Florida, number one seed. And Ohio State is fifth over the last 30 days. TCU over that same span is 36th with a slightly better record. They are 6-2 over that span. Ohio State 5-3.
I mean, you're bringing it up. Do you think that's a reflection of how well teams are playing heading into the tournament? Numbers like that? I do. I do think you can become a little too reliant on sort of like recent form when you're trying to decide who might win. this time of year but if you wanted to let that guide you ohio state's recent form is quite good and for ohio state i think it is primarily a function of them getting a little healthier right like uh john mobley missed some time he came back christoph tilly uh missed at least one game against iowa they lost like he came back brandon noel missed basically two half the season but he came back and played against michigan um so they've they've had more or less everyone they've kind of expected to have coming into the season available over over this kind of closing stretch and jake debler on wednesday said like this is kind of the healthiest we've been all year like everyone practiced on wednesday which i think has been a bit of a rarity for ohio state over the last month so
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Chapters
4 chapters
1
What are the key details of the Ohio State vs. TCU matchup?
0:05–7:45
2
What factors contribute to Ohio State being favored in this game?
7:45–13:36
3
How does Ohio State's recent performance impact their chances in the tournament?
13:36–22:40
4
What historical trends exist for No. 1 seeds in the NCAA tournament?
22:40–28:52
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