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Chapter 1: What recent events have influenced Trump's actions regarding NATO?
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Chapter 2: How is Trump reacting to the situation with Iran?
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All right. Hey, everybody, before we get to the podcast today, I just wanted to hit you with a news update. We started this morning with a rundown of everything that happened over the weekend. But since taping, we have an increase in I guess we call it kinetic action and our decreased fire rate.
Some missiles have been fired by Iran at Dubai and the UAE, and there were shots fired going both directions at boats in the Strait of Hormuz. Donald Trump posted this on his social media platform.
Chapter 3: What are the implications of Trump's troop withdrawal from Germany?
Iran has taken some shots with respect to ship movement, including at a South Korean cargo ship. Perhaps it's time for South Korea to come and join the mission. Well, I should just say as a quick aside here that that South Korea, everything was going fine for South Korea before you attacked Iran. So I don't know why this would make South Korea want to join the mission now.
In response, Trump writes that we've shut down seven small boats. Or as I like to call them, fast boats. So as a result, we are seeing prices increase in the oil market and obviously tensions rising with some of our allies. So we get into most of this on the podcast today. And Bill, frankly...
alludes to the fact that that iran might start these types of attacks again and um we got it a couple hours later so uh that's the latest we'll have much more obviously on tomorrow's show and the rest of the week uh stick around for bill crystal monday
Chapter 4: How does the podcast analyze Trump's approval ratings?
Hello and welcome to the Bulwark Podcast. I'm your host, Tim Miller. It is Monday. It is May. And so we're here with editor-at-large Bill Kristol. I do have to say, 2026 feels like it's moving a little faster than 2025. 2025 was a long slog, the first year of Trump. And my daughter, last night before bedtime, she said to me, she was like, It makes me sad. The year's almost over.
Chapter 5: What are the Democratic strategies leading up to the elections?
My school year's almost over. It went by so fast. And it's my favorite grade that I'm in. And so, you know, that tugged at my heartstrings a little bit. But then I was like, you know what? You're right. Maybe we can survive the next two and a half years. You know, we'll all be older and whatnot, you know, because time comes for everybody. But... I don't know.
Chapter 6: How is the GOP responding to Trump's recent decisions?
No? Is it not moving faster for you, Bill? No, it is.
I'm trying to remember. It's hard for me to, of course, it's hard to put myself back in one's mindset a year ago. It seemed like the whole thing might work for Trump, right? I mean, I don't mean it still is very dangerous, don't get me wrong, but Doge plus, you know, everything and sort of just... Everybody folding, the law firms, the universities. Yeah, yeah.
Just the kind of degree of the authoritarian takeover and the lack of effective resistance early on. The big thing in those first few months, I remember speaking to donors and stuff,
Chapter 7: What is the significance of the proposed Triumphal Arch?
Why his numbers never go down. His poll numbers are immovable. He's, you know, he's got a mystical, magical hold over the American public. Doesn't feel that way now.
Nope. We're going to get to the poll numbers, the politics. I'm going to start a little bit with some of the news from the weekend. So the Iranians offered a proposal to the president as part of our campaign. I liked the commenter that recommended decreased fire. Me and Nick Kristof were trying to decide how to describe what is happening right now.
Chapter 8: How do the hosts assess the future of American politics?
And he said slow fire, which is good, but decreased fire has a better ring to it. So that's what we're going to go with. Their proposal, it would be a one-month deadline to end the decreased fire and permanently end the war. And the deal would leave its nuclear capabilities unresolved. They have a 14-point plan.
It would require both sides to lift their blockades on the Strait and the war in Lebanon, release Iran's frozen assets. They also want us to pay them some cash and lift sanctions. The Trump reply to that over his social media account, because that's how things are in our country. Banana Republican, the president replies to foreign countries on his own social media platform.
Can't imagine that it would be acceptable and that they have not yet paid a big enough price for what they have done to humanity and the world over the last 47 years. In the meantime, they've announced Project Freedom. subtly named Project Freedom. Who are we freeing in Project Freedom, you might wonder? Is it the Iranian people? Are we protecting our own freedom? No.
Project Freedom is to free some ships from the Strait of Hormuz. We're going to put 15,000 troops and 100 aircraft in harm's way to potentially free stranded ships in the waterway. Iran says that they hit a U.S. ship in reaction to that this morning. The U.S. denies that that happened. So there you go. It doesn't seem like a lot of progress has been made.
Bill, what do you think of the state of play?
Yeah, no, it all seems like such talk and some phony military action, which is better probably than real military action. And I still kind of think it's all jostling and whatever to get Trump to the withdrawal he wants, I guess. I don't know.
But on the other hand, I talked to someone last night who allegedly follows these things and thinks, oh, Trump's really going to hit them one more time in a big way. And I don't know. Yeah. When you look at that Trump tweet, I mean, it's sort of like it's typical, right?
A little bit of it's bellicose, but then there's a lot of isn't there some talk about we're really getting along well with the Iranians these days. And I kind of feel is gettable here.
I mean, yeah, he likes to keep optionality for himself. The longer it goes on, though, even supporters are going to be like, prices are going up. The straight is still closed. What are we doing? It is hard to even spin what end he's trying to achieve. The spin that he was giving people as his out is that the blockade was going to cripple and tank the Iranian economy.
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