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The Daily

The Autism Diagnosis Problem

24 Nov 2025

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

0.031 - 23.774 Andrew Ross Sorkin

This is Andrew Ross Sorkin, the founder of Dealbook. Every year, I interview some of the world's most influential leaders across politics, culture, and business at the Dealbook Summit, a live event in New York City. On this year's podcast, you'll hear my unfiltered conversations with Gavin Newsom, the CEO of Palantir and Anthropic, and Erica Kirk, the widow of Charlie Kirk.

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23.794 - 26.697 Andrew Ross Sorkin

Listen to Dealbook Summit wherever you get your podcasts.

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31.199 - 41.096 Rachel Abrams

From The New York Times, I'm Rachel Abrams, and this is The Daily. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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Chapter 2: How has the perception of autism changed over the years?

41.236 - 58.223 Rachel Abrams

has repeatedly cited the skyrocketing autism rates as central to his mission as Health and Human Services Secretary. He's laid the blame at the feet of everything from Tylenol to vaccines, and he recently instructed the CDC to abandon its longstanding position that the latter do not cause autism.

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59.184 - 73.35 Rachel Abrams

But while the rates of autism have increased in recent decades, the reasons are more complicated than what Kennedy has presented. Today, Azeen Qureshi explains what's really driving the increase in diagnoses.

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Chapter 3: What claims does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. make about autism?

76.12 - 90.518 Rachel Abrams

It's Monday, November 24th. So Azeen, the Make America Healthy Again movement, and RFK in particular, have really put autism in the spotlight.

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Chapter 4: What factors contribute to the rise in autism diagnoses?

91.079 - 108.527 Rachel Abrams

RFK Jr., of course, has called autism an epidemic. And I think it is fair to say that he has instilled a lot of fear in people about what the root causes of autism are. And you've spent a lot of time thinking about this as part of your reporting. And so that's where I'd like to start. And in particular, I want to talk about the numbers.

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109.516 - 130.218 Azeen Ghorayshi

Yeah, so autism diagnoses among children in the United States have been rising pretty consistently for decades. In the year 2000, which is the first year that the CDC started collecting data on this question, they found that one in 158-year-olds in the United States had an autism diagnosis.

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Chapter 5: How has the definition of autism evolved over time?

130.779 - 143.381 Azeen Ghorayshi

That number has risen consistently every year that they have published their report. And the most recent data that they published, which came out this year, found that one in 31 eight-year-olds has an autism diagnosis.

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143.562 - 148.737 Rachel Abrams

So it goes from one in 150 to one in every 31 children.

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148.902 - 163.862 Azeen Ghorayshi

Yeah, and I mean, that's a huge increase, right? And RFK really frames this as an epidemic. He says, you know, there's something in our environment that is causing autism to spread like wildfire. But that's misleading.

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164.302 - 184.971 Azeen Ghorayshi

You know, from all the experts that I've spoken to, they've acknowledged that there are environmental factors that likely interact with our genetics that are contributing to the rise in autism. You know, there's things like pollution, for example, that people choosing to have children later in life. But those are ultimately a really small part of the explanation for this rise.

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185.031 - 196.628 Azeen Ghorayshi

And the biggest reason that we know of that is driving this increase actually has to do with how we define what autism is. And that definition has been expanding over the last several decades.

196.996 - 205.551 Rachel Abrams

So basically you're saying that the tent has gotten bigger, but not necessarily because there is a true fundamental increase in the number of people who have autism.

Chapter 6: What challenges do families face regarding autism resources?

205.571 - 212.102 Rachel Abrams

Even if that's part of it, it's that more people are being captured within this expanding definition.

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212.082 - 223.714 Azeen Ghorayshi

Yes, but there has been a growing fight over whether this tent has grown too large. These are fights over resources. There are fights over research priorities.

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224.215 - 247.053 Azeen Ghorayshi

Parents, activists, doctors, scientists who are researching this are starting to really grapple with whether everyone in the community is getting what they need, given that the needs of people under this very broad tent can be very different. And one of the people I've been talking to for a while about these rising tensions is this psychologist named Kathy Lord.

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247.514 - 263.737 Azeen Ghorayshi

Her career basically tracks our understanding of autism. She is a legendary autism researcher. She has been actively involved in defining criteria for the disorder. So she's really been at the center of a lot of this change.

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Chapter 7: How does the neurodiversity movement influence autism perception?

264.478 - 267.402 Rachel Abrams

Tell me a little bit about her and sort of her backstory.

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267.382 - 280.299 Azeen Ghorayshi

So she's a clinical psychologist. Hi, Kathy. Hello. She's at UCLA. She has spent her whole career studying and working with people with autism. What drew you to the field of autism in the first place?

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280.52 - 284.745 Kathy Lord

I think I like the kids. I just thought they're so interesting.

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285.406 - 294.098 Azeen Ghorayshi

Kathy, in the 1970s, as an undergrad, started working with children who had what today we would call autism.

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Chapter 8: What are the future implications for autism diagnoses and support?

294.078 - 302.215 Kathy Lord

The kids that I saw then, we assumed they were not verbal. We assumed they couldn't talk. They did not look at us.

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302.756 - 315.978 Azeen Ghorayshi

The kids that Kathy was seeing, many of them had intellectual disabilities. Some of the kids would be rocking back and forth, avoiding eye contact. Many of them wouldn't talk, couldn't talk, or even would just repeat what was said back to them.

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315.998 - 332.218 Kathy Lord

We didn't understand why would a child be moving their fingers in an unusual way like starfish? Or why were they upset when someone put something down in a place that they hadn't expected it to be?

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332.198 - 337.745 Azeen Ghorayshi

And at the time, psychologists and psychiatrists thought maybe this was a form of schizophrenia.

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337.845 - 343.932 Kathy Lord

Originally, it was both considered childhood schizophrenia or infantile psychosis.

344.713 - 348.738 Azeen Ghorayshi

Why did they think it fit the profile of schizophrenia or psychosis?

348.818 - 354.886 Kathy Lord

I think part of it is that we use the term psychosis when people do things that we don't understand.

354.926 - 360.973 Rachel Abrams

And what were the clinicians telling the families, like telling the parents, and what kind of treatment were they suggesting?

361.527 - 361.948 Azeen Ghorayshi

Yeah.

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