The dictators' survival guide

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The Documentary Podcast 29 min 2 speakers 6 chapters transcribed just now
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Unknown 0:00
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Celia Hatton 1:15
In China, top officials go missing fairly often, and when you've watched them for a while, you'll see these vanishings follow a pattern. A senior Communist Party member or a high-ranking general fails to turn up at a state event. Then they miss an important meeting or a military ceremony. They simply evaporate from public view. Weeks later, there's a terse formal announcement on China's state media.
Unknown 1:48
So-and-so
Celia Hatton 1:51
is under investigation, usually for corruption or abuse of power. A few months after that, another announcement.
Unknown 2:00
They've
Celia Hatton 2:03
been found guilty in a secret trial. The official in question is never seen in public again. They've been purged. You're listening to the documentary from the BBC World Service. I'm Celia Hatton, and this is the Dictator's Survival Guide. I've been both fascinated and horrified by this aspect of autocratic regimes since I first began working as a journalist inside China in the early 2000s. China's leader Xi Jinping has been purging the top echelons of the Chinese Communist Party since he came to power over a decade ago. But with strongman politics on the march, it feels as if there's never been a better time to try to understand the behavior of dictators and why we should pay attention to how they treat the people closest to them.
Celia Hatton 2:56
In January this year, Xi Jinping carried out a purge that stood out from the rest.
Unknown 3:02
Because
Celia Hatton 3:06
the latest top official to vanish is China's military chief, Zhang Youxiang.
Unknown 3:11
Tonight, the stunning fall of China's most powerful general.
Celia Hatton 3:15
China has purged the very top man within its military, with the exception of Xi Jinping himself. Even the most ardent China watchers were stunned.
Joseph Tarigian 3:25
I had no idea this purge was coming.
Olivia Chung 3:27
Zhang Youxia getting purged would be the last thing I
Celia Hatton 3:30
expect, frankly. Zhang Youxia was Xi's right-hand man. They'd known each other since childhood. Some joked the two were besties. For years, Zhang was the man just behind Xi at every military ceremony. He'd been promoted under Xi and kept his post long after the party's normally strict rules would have forced him to retire. He was seen as untouchable. Every morning, right after news of Zhang's detention surfaced, I'd check my phone, my email and social media, and there was almost no concrete information to explain why. Just more informed guesses from people whose analysis I trust. Beijing is a black box.
Drew Thompson 4:11
And that's not just to keep the foreigners guessing, it's to keep the rest of the political system in line.
Olivia Chung 4:17
Exactly what Zhang Youxia has done that is so unforgivable is a mystery.
Joseph Tarigian 4:22
It's also possible that Zhang Yuxia simply outlived his usefulness.
Celia Hatton 4:27
Theories as to why Xi had turned on his friend are unleashed. He was planning a coup, leaking nuclear secrets to the U.S. that he'd just got too big for his boots. The timing was also odd. Zhang was in charge of one of the world's biggest militaries, which many believed could be preparing to invade neighboring Taiwan. Why would he be purged now? So here's our mystery. Xi Jinping is arguably one of the most powerful men on the planet. And he stayed at the top with a loyal wingman at his side, Zhang Youxia, until now. What's changed? After 25 years of reporting on China, I've learned one thing. Patience is important. Details often emerge slowly. I start to scroll through my contacts, and first I turn to people who go in and out of China frequently, but are based outside the country, so are free to talk.
Celia Hatton 5:28
Commentators are saying Zhang Youxia's detention is the most dramatic purge since the days of Mao Zedong, China's revolutionary leader.

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