Access our national Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=Episode+61&utm_id=podcastJoin the portfolio management waitlist: https://follio.com.au/portfolio-management/🚨 With $3 BILLION in Mortgage Fraud, 25.3% Surge in Non-Bank Lending, and "Reeks of 2007", Is the Australian Property Market About to Break?Reece and Lachlan Delahunty pull back the curtain on what the major banks DON'T want investors to see in 2026. With NAB, CBA, ANZ and Macquarie now exposed to an estimated $3 billion in AI-driven mortgage fraud, non-bank lending exploding 25.3% in 12 months, and investor credit hitting levels not seen since June 2007, the parallels to the pre-GFC era are impossible to ignore. But here's the twist most commentators are missing: while the majors clamp down, a shadow lending market is quietly writing the next chapter of Australia's debt story. Is this the calm before the collapse… or the smartest buying window of the decade? Watch to the end, Lachlan's call on what APRA does next in the May budget will reframe how you read every property headline for the rest of 2026.🎯 What's Covered In This Episode✅ Why the "two-speed economy" is about to become more exaggerated and which markets get crushed first ✅ The $3 BILLION mortgage fraud scandal hiding inside NAB, CBA, ANZ & Macquarie loan books ✅ How "everyday mum and dad investors" are falsifying payslips and bank statements with AI tools✅ NAB's bad debt forecast blowout and why Westpac and CBA are quietly mirroring the move ✅ The 25.3% explosion in non-bank lending vs just 3.9% growth from the Big Four ✅ Why Lachlan says today's lending data "reeks of 2007", the year before the GFC ✅ Investor credit growth at 1% in December, the highest since June 2007 ✅ APRA's likely next move: will interest-only investor loans get axed again like 2017? ✅ The May Budget threat: capital gains tax & negative gearing as the government's emergency levers ✅ How LVRs crept from 70% post-GFC to 95% with no LMI and why this is "debt out of control." ✅ The rise of second-tier, third-tier and private lenders now writing 18% of commercial debt ✅ What experienced investors are doing RIGHT NOW while everyone else freezes in fearTimestamps:04:21 The $3 Billion Mortgage Fraud Scandal06:21 Major Banks Brace for Impact08:15 The "2007" Warning Signal11:10 A Ghost of June 200712:30 The May Budget & Policy "Handbrake"13:23 The Perfect Storm (LVR Creep)Key Themes:🔸 The 2007 Parallel🔸 AI-Powered Mortgage Fraud🔸 Shadow Lending Boom🔸 Regulatory Whiplash Ahead🔸 Investor Psychology🔸 The Perfect Storm ThesisEach week, Reece Beddall & Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights, we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/#AustralianPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestmentAustralia #AustralianHousingCrash #APRA #MortgageFraud #NonBankLending #NegativeGearing #FollioPropertyPodcast #PropertyInvestmentPodcast #InterestRatesAustralia #HousingBubble #FirstHomeBuyer #RealEstateInvesting #AustralianEconomy #PropertyMarket2026Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

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