FantasyPros - Fantasy Football's Biggest Make-or-Break Players for 2026 Drafts | Henderson, Rice, Hurts & More (Ep. 2097)
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Hello, everybody. Welcome into the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast. I'm Ryan Wormley, joined by Tom Strachan. We are talking some players who will make or break your drafts in 2026. As a reminder for everybody, all of our 2026 consensus rankings and tiers can be found at fantasypros.com slash rankings. That's where you'll find things like our half PPR expert consensus rankings. If we reference a player's ranking on the show today, generally speaking, unless we go out of our way to identify it elsewise, it is going to be their half PPR expert consensus ranking. We're gonna be talking some running backs, receivers, quarterbacks, and tight ends that could make or break your draft. So not necessarily like a bust list.
These could be players that have upside that could win you your league on draft day or players that if you reach too far might really hurt you. So it's You can kind of go in either direction. You could, you know, not really polarizing players list, but just a wide range of outcomes list, I think is the right way to put it, Tom.
Yeah, definitely. I mean, these are guys that you don't... I play a lot of best ball. I play a lot of higher stakes stuff. And they're guys that I don't want no exposure to. But every time that I'm taking them, I'm having to really be thoughtful about what I'm taking and what the process is behind it and what the outcomes that I'm hoping for are.
And don't worry, everybody. Despite the fact that this is a Worm and Tom show, we will not just be talking to ravens the whole time. In fact, there's not a single raven on the list. Come back for that. So... Another time. Another time. All right, let's dive right in. We'll start with the running backs here. And first name on your list is Travion Henderson. Why is he a make or break player for you?
I don't think that there's any bigger make or break players inside the top sort of 60 picks at the minute. I mean, Trevion Henderson's going at 58th overall, which is 20 picks ahead of Ramondre Stevenson in the expert consensus rankings. And you look at what he did last year. Obviously, weeks one to eight were incredibly disappointing, 6.6 points per game. And then weeks nine to 18, it was 17.1 fantasy points per game. The weeks where Stevenson missed, of course, were just incredible. For people like us who were very in on Trevion Henderson last year, it was like, okay, the breakout's happening. We've booked this so many times. The rookie running back who finally gets the opportunity explodes. 330 yards, five touchdowns, RB3 over those three games.
And then Romandre comes back and it all starts to drop off. And I think that the market is definitely taking into account the upside that we saw. In that period, they're very much betting on a second-year progression, a second-year breakout, and growing on that. But I'm not sure that it's properly taken into account just how good Ramondre Stevenson was last year as well. Sixth in fantasy points over expected, fifth in explosive run rate, and he was better in yards after contact than Henderson. The big pivot point on this decision for me is... Can Henderson show that he's a good pass protector? Because you go back to college and he was good in pass protection, but he never really showed up last year.
And I think if you want to build the positive case and say Trevion Henderson is going to break out, it's going to have to start with being able to hold his own on pass protection.
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Chapters
5 chapters
1
What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
0:00–8:22
2
Which running backs are true make-or-break picks early in 2026 drafts?
8:22–8:53
3
Why is TreVeyon Henderson considered a risky second-year breakout candidate?
8:53–29:23
4
Is Quinshon Judkins overpriced given his injury and Cleveland's changing offense?
29:23–51:25
5
Why is David Montgomery's ADP concerning for fantasy managers?
51:25–55:39
Speakers
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