Richard Arnold: US Correspondent on the US calling off strikes on Iran, Trump's claim of a deal

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The Mike Hosking Breakfast 4 min 3 speakers 6 chapters transcribed 3 months ago
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

Mike Hosking 0:00
We have Richard Arnold out of the US. Hi, Richard.
Heather du Plessis-Allan 0:03
That's a big promise, Heather.
Mike Hosking 0:04
We'll do the best that we absolutely can. What have you got? Tell us what you know.
Heather du Plessis-Allan 0:07
Well, a crying wolf. Wall Street is rebounding, but what do they know? Trump is saying on social media that he has cancelled what he said would be quite very hard. U.S. strikes in the coming hours, he says on social media, that discussions with Iran have gone to the highest level and have been approved.

What recent claims has Trump made about negotiations with Iran?

Heather du Plessis-Allan 0:22
However, we have no details, and he calls it, quote, a transaction, not a deal, time and place of the signing to be announced. So what's to be made of all this? Not much is the view of Leon Panetta, former defense chief here, former CIA boss.
Richard Arnold 0:37
These negotiations have gone nowhere. I'd be very surprised if what the president says today, in fact, happened.
Heather du Plessis-Allan 0:46
So why are you so disbelieving? Benito responds.
Richard Arnold 0:51
This has been. The most screwed up set of negotiations I've ever seen when it comes to trying to end a war. These negotiations have been going on in the dark. We've been going through intermediaries with Pakistan and Qatar and others.

Why did Trump cancel the planned strikes on Iran?

Richard Arnold 1:10
and they've exchanged one-sheet documents to try to summarize some kind of framework, but there really is no hard-line negotiations going on.
Heather du Plessis-Allan 1:21
Well, we know that Trump has wanted to end this conflict and to do so in terms he can claim are better than Obama wrought in 2015. Instead, we have seen tit-for-tat airstrikes over the past two days. Trump then announced he might go after the Iranian oil depot on Karg Island this afternoon. The Rupert Murdoch Wall Street Journal in its editorial today said Trump needs a new strategy. The journal argued the latest U.S. strikes have been weak. They write, quote, only by a miracle did two U.S.

What is the significance of Trump's term 'transaction' in the context of these negotiations?

Heather du Plessis-Allan 1:48
pilots survive after an Iranian drone struck and burned inside their Apache helicopter. Yet, says the journal, Trump's early reaction was to say this wasn't a big deal. Trump won't want to hear this, says the Murdoch crew, but, quote, he has been dancing to Iran's tune. He will have to break from it or lose the war politically despite the early military gains. The president responded.
They did an editorial today about we're not hitting them hard enough. I mean, it's just not hitting them hard enough.

What are the views of former defense officials on the credibility of Trump's claims?

We dropped $250 million worth of bombs on them last night. You know, the whole thing is crazy.
Heather du Plessis-Allan 2:19
So then came the threat to Karg Island where they've already bombed military targets, including air defenses and mine sites. But most analysts say U.S. ground troops would be required to capture that small island and then ongoing American defenses, making it all possible. Very risky. Soon after this threat, either serious or a bluff, came this word of the new transaction. What does this mean for the fate of Iran's enriched nuclear materials? What does it mean for oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz? What does it mean for the billions in frozen Iranian assets? Before this latest Trump post, Vice President Vance was saying an end to all this could be months away. We'll see.
Mike Hosking 2:56
Now, what did you make of that comeback from the Knicks?
Well,
Heather du Plessis-Allan 2:59
That's one for the books, isn't it? Whether folks are following the NBA final series or not, everyone can see that this was a classic. The New York Knicks are facing the San Antonio Spurs, we know, and hoping for their first final championships in 53 long years. So that is the backdrop. The Knicks lost their first game in months this week in the best of seven series, the game that Trump attended. Then last night they were trailing badly at halftime with all their celebrity super fans from Jerry Seinfeld to Taylor Swift. Glum as they were down by 27 points at halftime. Then they clawed their way back and they won this thing literally in the final second.
That's it. It's over. The greatest comeback in NBA playoffs.
Heather du Plessis-Allan 3:39
history it was remarkable with the clock ticking down the knicks were facing disaster but point by point they came back with a 1.2 seconds remaining on the clock they made a frantic final shot which looked like a a dud but then the right hand of god say the knicks fans a long three-point attempt bounced off the rim then the knicks uh annie noby raised his arm to flick this thing in giving new york a one-point victory 107 to 106 knicks fans just went wild we did it we were so

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