Bitcoin tanked to $64,000 after Kevin Warsh's first FOMC turned full hawkish — the median dot plot now sees a 2026 rate HIKE, October hike odds jumped to 60%, and Bitcoin/Ether ETFs swung back to outflows ($111M combined, with BlackRock's IBIT bleeding $31M). But the on-chain picture is bullish: Bitcoin whales (1,000+ BTC addresses) just reversed months of selling and now control the highest BTC supply since March, absorbing 125,000 BTC in the first half of June. Add Strategy's STRC preferred stock hitting a record low (freezing Saylor's main BTC-buying engine), whale-sized 1,750 BTC put hedges at the $62K strike flashing weekend caution, Bitwise's Matt Hougan still calling for $1 million Bitcoin within 10 years, and the SEC scrapping the trade-through rule (clearing the runway for tokenized stocks) — and today's setup is the most confusing tape of the cycle. We break down whether the whale accumulation signals the bottom is in, what Warsh's hawkish pivot means for 2026, and whether the $62K weekend put hedge is the warning everyone's missing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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