REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceThe past few weeks have seen potential game changers popping up at home as well as all over the globe.How tectonic are they?Are they re-shaping the future in ways that impact investing strategy?To find out, we have the great good fortune of sitting down with research analyst Stephanie Pomboy, who will not only share her latest macro & market outlook, but take audience Q&A live.#macro #geopolitics #oil 0:00 Has the grand game just changed?2:15 Kevin Warsh and a less interventionist Fed4:21 Ending the Fed put: the Greenspan parallel6:33 Long-term Treasury yields at two-decade highs8:28 Are we in a secular higher-rate era?9:49 Bankruptcies, private credit marks, and hidden stress11:33 Why no crisis yet: Fed-put psychology13:48 Mixed signals from Warsh and Bessent15:41 Why the economy hasn’t buckled yet18:53 AI capex risk and 2007 credit-market echoes21:09 Crowding out and debt rolling at 7.4%23:27 Treasury intervention: buybacks and the yen24:20 The 1921 depression and letting markets clear30:34 Has the put moved from the Fed to Treasury?32:13 The TGA “trillion-dollar” bluff and midterms35:18 Revaluing the U.S. gold reserve37:20 Japan’s soaring yields and the yen carry trade40:48 How seismic would a carry-trade unwind be?42:03 Leverage, margin debt, and corporate balance sheets45:26 Venezuela oil: game changer or nothing burger?53:35 Venezuela, Iran, and the China angle54:51 Canada, Iran, and America as the world’s gas station57:55 The biggest if: midterms, 2028, and policy reversal1:00:00 Where to follow Stephanie + conference wrap_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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