Thoughts on the Market

Finding Opportunity in AI’s Evolution

14 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Head of Thematic Research Ed Stanley discusses how artificial intelligence is changing and what could be in store for investors in 2025.---...

Big Debates: The State of the Energy Transition

13 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In the latest edition of our Big Debates miniseries, Morgan Stanley Research analysts discuss the factors that will shape the global energy market in ...

Big Debates: The AI Evolution

10 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In the first of a special series, Morgan Stanley’s U.S. Thematic and Equity Strategist Michelle Weaver discusses new frontiers in artificial intelli...

2025: Setting Expectations

10 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research, Andrew Sheets, offers up bull, bear and base cases for credit markets in the year ahead.----- Transcript -----W...

Market Implications of Trump’s Agenda

08 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

With the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump approaching, our Global Head of Fixed Income and Public Policy Research weighs the impact for in...

What Could Shape the Global Economy in 2025

07 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter weighs the myriad variables which could impact global markets in 2025, and why this year may be the most unc...

Will 2024’s Weak Finish Extend into the New Year?

06 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson considers the year-end slump in U.S. stocks, and whether more market-friendly policies can change...

Lessons to Take Into 2025

03 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

With the start of the new year, our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets looks back to look ahead at trends for credit and other markets in...

A Bumpy Road Ahead for Onshoring EVs

02 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Global Autos & Shared Mobility Adam Jonas discusses why the electric vehicle market may see a small reset in 2025, but ultimately acce...

Special Encore: Will US Tariffs Drive Mexico Closer to China?

31 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date November 22, 2024: Our US Public Policy Strategist Ariana Salvatore and Chief Latin America Equity Strategist Nikolaj Lippm...

Special Encore: Uncertainty Surrounds 2025 U.S. Equities Outlook

30 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date November 26, 2024: Morgan Stanley’s CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson joins Andrew Pauker of the U.S. Equi...

Special Encore: A $10 Trillion Opportunity in US Reshoring

27 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date October 25, 2024: After decades of offshoring, the pendulum for US manufacturing is swinging back toward domestic productio...

Special Encore: Housing, Currency Markets in Focus

26 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date November 19, 2024: On the second part of a two-part roundtable, our panel gives its 2025 preview for the housing and mortga...

Special Encore: What’s Ahead for Markets in 2025?

24 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date November 18, 2024: On the first part of a two-part roundtable, our panel discusses why the US is likely to see a slowdown a...

The Many Potential Policy Paths of Trump’s Second Term

23 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research joins our U.S. Public Policy Strategist to give investors their policy expectations for Pre...

More Talk, Less Action Could Be Good for Credit Markets

20 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research lists realistic scenarios for why credit could outperform expectations in 2025, despite some risks posed by poli...

Fed Signals Inflation Fight Isn’t Over

19 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Head of Macro Strategy joins our Chief U.S. Economist to discuss the Fed’s recent rate cut and why persistent inflation is likely to slow...

Banking on Deregulation

18 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Of all of the potential policy changes from the incoming U.S. presidential administration, deregulation could have the most significant impact on mark...

The Calm Before the Storm?

17 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Chief Economist explains why a predictable end to 2024 for central banks may give way to a tempestuous 2025.----- Transcript -----Welcome t...

How Investors Can Best Position for 2025

16 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist recaps how equity markets have fared in 2024, and why they might look more conservative early in the new year...

Why the Airline Industry Could Take Off in 2025

13 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

After an up-and-down 2024 for the U.S. airlines industry, our Freight Transportation & Airlines Analyst Ravi Shanker explains why he is bullish ab...

Could Private-Label Products Transform Retail?

12 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our U.S. Retail Analyst Simeon Gutman discusses shoppers’ embrace of a private labels super cycle and how changing consumer behavior could fundament...

What Could Go Wrong for Corporate Credit?

11 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets explains why corporate credit may struggle in 2025, including the risks of aggressive policy shift...

How Equity Markets Are Feeling About 2025

10 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist says that while equity market activity suggests a measured level of optimism about 2025, the questions around...

How AI Is Revolutionizing Healthcare

09 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Morgan Stanley Research and Investment Management analysts discuss how AI can keep costs down for the industry and give patients a more personalized e...

A Very Merry Start to U.S. Holiday Shopping

06 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Morgan Stanley Research analysts see a strong start following Black Friday but question whether the short shopping season will hurt retailers.----- Tr...

AI as a Second Set of Eyes

05 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Europe MedTech Analyst digs into the transformational impact of AI-driven diagnostic imaging on healthcare systems.----- Transcript -----Welcome t...

What Investors Should Know About Trump’s Tariffs

04 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research explains why President-elect Trump’s proposed tariff plans may look different than the policie...

Private vs. Public Credit Competition Intensifies

04 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Chief Fixed Income Strategist Vishy Tirupattur and Leveraged Finance Strategist Joyce Jiang discuss how the dynamic between private and public cre...

Will 2025 Be a Turning Point for Credit?

02 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets recaps an exceptional year for credit — but explains why 2025 could be a more challenging year f...

Special Encore: The Beginning of an M&A Boom?

29 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date November 15, 2024: Our head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets explains why a stronger economy, moderate inflation and f...

Special Encore: How Young People Think About Money

27 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date November 1, 2024: Our US Fintech and Payments analyst reviews a recent survey that reveals key trends on how Gen Z and Millennia...

Uncertainty Surrounds 2025 U.S. Equities Outlook

26 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Morgan Stanley’s CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson joins Andrew Pauker of the U.S. Equity Strategy team to break down the key issues ...

US Holiday Shoppers Spend More on Smaller Items

25 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

As Black Friday approaches, our US Thematic and Equity Strategist Michelle Weaver explains why some US consumers will increase their spending and whic...

Will US Tariffs Drive Mexico Closer to China?

22 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our US Public Policy Strategist Ariana Salvatore and Chief Latin America Equity Strategist Nikolaj Lippmann discuss what Trump’s victory could mean ...

Is This the Future of Clean Energy Under Trump 2.0?

21 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Sustainability analysts Stephen Byrd and Laura Sanchez discuss the range of impacts that the Republican sweep may have on energy policy and the ES...

Is Clean Power at a Tipping Point in Asia?

20 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our South Asia Energy Analyst Mayank Maheshwari discusses the main drivers behind a shifting electric power landscape in his outlook for Asi...

Global Outlook: Housing, Currency Markets in Focus

19 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

On the second part of a two-part roundtable, our panel gives its 2025 preview for the housing and mortgage landscape, the US Treasury yield curve and ...

Global Outlook: What’s Ahead for Markets in 2025?

18 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

On the first part of a two-part roundtable, our panel discusses why the US is likely to see a slowdown and where investors can look for growth.----- T...

The Beginning of an M&A Boom?

15 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets explains why a stronger economy, moderate inflation and future rate cuts could prompt deal-making....

Decoding Signals Following the US Election

14 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

While the market waits for the incoming Trump administration to present its policy agenda, our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research Micha...

US Elections: Lessons From the UK

13 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

As President-Elect Trump’s new administration takes shape, all eyes are on fiscal policy that may follow. Our Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter ...

Will Tariffs Dampen Asia’s Economic Growth?

12 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Chief Asia Economist Chetan Ahya discusses the potential impact of tariffs on China and other Asian countries following the US election.----- Tran...

Pricing In the Likely Republican Sweep

11 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

With the Republican party poised to clinch control of the White House and Congress, our CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist says markets are ...

Investor Expectations After the US Election

08 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets provides an overview of uncertainty around policy following the election of a Republican administr...

Taking the Pulse of the US Consumer

07 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our panel of analysts discusses the health of the US consumer through the lens of spending, credit use and home ownership. ----- Transcript -----...

After Trump Win, Where Do Markets Move from Here?

06 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

With a second Trump term at least partially reflected in the price of global markets, we focus on two key debates for the longer-term: Potential tarif...

Why Are Users and Investors Breaking Up with Online Dating?

05 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Analyst Nathan Feather discusses why the online dating market is slowing down, and whether or not it can get back on track.----- Transcript ...

US Elections: Weighing the Options

05 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

On the eve of a competitive US election, our CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist joins our head of Corporate Credit Research and Chief Fixed Income Str...

How Young People Think About Money

01 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our US Fintech and Payments analyst reviews a recent survey that reveals key trends on how Gen Z and Millennials handle their personal finances.----- ...

A Global Credit Tour

31 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

With the US election as a backdrop, our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets tells three stories that help encapsulate the state of global ...

US Election: Waiting Out a Close Race

30 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research, Michael Zezas, outlines how investors should navigate the closing days of the presidential camp...

The U.S. Election and Tax Policy

29 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our U.S. Public Policy and Valuation, Accounting & Tax strategists assess the possible scenarios in the upcoming elections, and what the...

Markets Uncertain Ahead of U.S. Election

28 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

As the U.S. presidential race continues to be neck and neck according to opinion polls, our Chief Fixed Income Strategist considers the possible marke...

A $10 Trillion Opportunity in US Reshoring

25 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

After decades of offshoring, the pendulum for US manufacturing is swinging back toward domestic production. Our US Multi-Industry Analyst Chris Snyder...

Retirement in the Age of Higher Life Expectancy

24 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Morgan Stanley’s European Head of Research Product Paul Walsh speaks to Betsy Graseck, Global Head of Banks and Diversified Finance, and Bruce Hamil...

Europe’s Demographic Dilemma

23 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Chief Europe Economist Jens Eisenschmidt and Europe Equity Strategist Regiane Yamanari discuss the strain of an aging population on the future of ...

Mind Meets Machine in Brain-Computer Interfaces

22 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Medical Technology expert analyzes the medical potential and market opportunity in technology that allows direct communication between the human b...

What’s Boosting Cyclical Stocks?

22 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist explains his preference for cyclical stocks amid a rise in global money supply and current US election d...

How the US Election Could Upset Credit Markets

18 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets discusses why uncertainty around the election’s outcome could be detrimental for credit investor...

Could the US Election Reshape the Energy Sector?

17 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our expert panel explains whether the US election will impact energy policy, including how the Inflation Reduction Act’s possible fate and increased...

What Does The Fed Rate Cut Mean For Mortgages?

16 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Mortgage rates aren’t directly influenced by Federal Reserve policy. However, the Fed’s recent cut likely will have a domino effect on the US hous...

South Korea’s ‘Super-Aging’ Challenge

15 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Chief Korea and Taiwan Economist discusses the reforms needed to overcome Korea’s urgent demographic crisis.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Tho...

Markets Spin Toward Cyclicals

14 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

A slump in tech stocks may explain the market rotation – but it’s the earnings season that investors need to watch, says CIO and Chief US Equity S...

US Economy: What Could Go Wrong

11 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research and Global Chief Economist explain why they’re watching the consumer savings rate, tariffs and capital expendi...

How Safe is AI?

10 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Mike Canfield, Morgan Stanley’s Head of Europe Sustainability Research, discusses why ensuring safe and responsible artificial intelligence is essen...

US Elections: The Outlook For Asia

09 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research Michael Zezas and Chief Asia Economist Chetan Ahya discuss how the upcoming US elections might i...

Economics Roundtable: US Election And Tariffs

08 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

The rhetoric around the US elections is heating up, and tariffs have become a central theme – to rally for or against. In Part II of our roundtable ...

Economics Roundtable: Central Banks Turn the Corner

07 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Morgan Stanley’s chief economists take stock of a resilient global economy that has weathered a recent period of market volatility, in Part I of our...

Why the Fed’s Next Move May Matter Less

04 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Following the US Federal Reserve’s September rate cut, labor data may have more impact on markets than further cuts. Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporat...

Can China’s Stimulus Shift Its Economy?

03 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Chief China Economist Robin Xing and Chief China Equity Strategist Laura Wang discuss how markets have responded to rate cuts and commitments to g...

What Could the Dockworkers’ Strike Mean for Growth and Inflation?

02 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Thousands of U.S. dockworkers have gone on strike along the East Coast and Gulf Coast. Our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research Michael Z...

The Potential Domino Effect of US Tariffs

01 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our US public policy and global economics experts discuss how an escalation of US tariffs could have major domestic and international economic implica...

The Impact of Central Bank Pivots

30 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist Mike Wilson takes a closer look at the potential ramifications of the sharp central bank policy shifts in the U...

Keeping the Faith For A Soft Landing

27 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Credit likes moderation, and the Fed’s rate cut indicates its belief that the economy is heading for a soft landing. Our Chief Fixed Income Strategi...

How Long Until Consumers Feel Rate Cut Benefits?

26 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our US Consumer Economist Sarah Wolfe lays out the impact of the Federal Reserve’s rate cut on labor market and consumers, including which goods cou...

US Elections: The Wait for Clarity

25 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

With the US presidential race being as closely contested as it is, Michael Zezas explains why patience may be a virtue for investors following El...

One Rate Cut, Many Effects

24 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

From stock price fluctuations to concerns about deflation, the reactions to the Fed rate cut have been varied. But we still need to keep an eye on lab...

As the Fed Recalibrates, What’s Ahead for Central Banks?

23 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Global Chief Economist, Seth Carpenter, explains why, despite last week’s big Fed move, there’s still plenty of uncertainty in global markets ...

Mexico Judicial Reforms Spark Investor Concern

20 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Chief Latin American Equity Strategist explains how potential changes in Mexico’s regulatory approach could have implications for the country’...

Industrials Outlook ‘Better Than Feared’

19 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Investors came away from Morgan Stanley’s recent Industrials Conference with a more optimistic outlook than they expected, based on perspectives inc...

Presidential Debate Targets Perceptions Over Policy

18 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

While the electoral impact of last week’s US presidential debate is unclear, our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research offers two guidin...

US Elections: The Politics of Healthcare

17 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our US Public Policy Strategist explains the potential impact of the upcoming presidential election on the healthcare sector, including whether the ou...

Markets Readying for a Rate Cut

16 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

With the Federal Reserve poised to make its long-awaited rate cut this week, our CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist tells us why investors have pivote...

Bank of Japan’s Role in Market Volatility

13 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

After sending global markets in a brief tailspin in early August, the Bank of Japan is once again the center of attention. Our Global Chief Economist ...

Corporate Credit at a Crossroads?

12 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research looks at the Fed’s approach to rate cuts, seasonal trends and the US election to explain why the next month re...

Uneven Recovery in Commercial Real Estate

11 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Office buildings continue to struggle in the post-pandemic era, but our Chief Fixed Income Strategist notes that other properties have turned a corner...

Trading Spaces: Millennials vs. Boomers

10 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

With the generational shift in the US housing market underway, our analysts discuss the impact this trend will have on residential real estate investi...

Shaky Labor Data Pressures Equity Markets

09 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Following weaker-than-expected August jobs data, our CIO and Chief U.S Equity Strategist lays out how the Federal Reserve can ease concerns ...

Balance Sheets Remain Resilient Despite Slowing US Growth

06 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research, Andrew Sheets, expects a sticky but shallow cycle for defaults on loans, with solid quality overall in high-gra...

Global Energy Markets and the US Election

05 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our US Public Policy and Global Commodities strategists discuss how the outcome of the election could affect energy markets in the US and around the w...

US Election: A Game Of Inches

04 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Despite a flurry of election news, little may have changed for investors weighing the possible outcomes. Our Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Researc...

Wallets Wide Open For GenAI

03 Sep 2024

Contributed by Lukas

While venture capital is taking a more cautionary approach with crypto startups, the buzz around GenAI is only increasing.----- Transcript -----Welcom...

Special Encore: Health Care for Longer, Healthier Lives

30 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Original Release Date August 8, 2024: Our Head of Europe Sustainability Research discusses how rising longevity is revolutionizing our fundamental app...

Is the Fed Behind the Curve?

29 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

As the US Federal Reserve mulls a forthcoming interest rate cut, our Head of Corporate Credit Research and Global Chief Economist discuss how it is ba...

Bumpy Road Back For US Housing Market

28 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

While mortgage rates have come down, our Co-heads of Securitized Products Research say the US housing market still must solve its supply problem.-----...

All Eyes on Jobs Data

27 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist explains why there’s pressure for the August jobs report to come in strong -- and what may happen to the mark...

What’s Boosting Consumer Confidence?

26 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Our US Thematic Strategist discusses surging confidence as the political landscape evolves, back-to-school spending starts strong and travel providers...

Market Rebounds but Growth Is Uncertain

23 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Although markets have recovered over the last few weeks after a sudden drop, our Head of Corporate Credit Research warns that investors are still skep...

What’s Next for Japan After Rate Hike?

22 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

The Bank of Japan jolted global markets after its recent decision to raise interest rates. Our experts break down the effects the move could have on t...