Chapter 1: What happened to the US fighter jet shot down in Iran?
A U.S. fighter jet is confirmed having been shot down over Iran. Now, there were two crew members. One has been rescued. And as of the recording of this show, we still don't know the fate of this other crew member believed to be alive and in Iran. Now, the Iranian government is offering a massive bounty. Some reports I saw say it's around 60,000 U.S.
equivalent dollars if the Iranians capture this American pilot or crew member. This could get really bad. I would make the argument that if the Iranian government knew it was good for them, they'd stay away from this individual as Trump will lay down hellfire if something happens to this crew member.
But either way, we've got videos of rescue vehicles, planes, helicopters refueling, and the search is on. It is intense. We're going to go over all of this. And we've got a bunch of other news that's very, very interesting.
Chapter 2: What is the Iranian government's response to the downed jet?
We've got eight people in California arrested for fraud. Massive. J.D. Vance is saying, yeah, Ilhan Omar did commit immigration fraud, indicating that moves may be coming to lock her up, denaturalize and deport. So we'll talk about all of that, my friends. Before we do, make sure you go to TimCast.com and join the Discord community. You got to get involved.
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Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is the great Scott Pressler.
Hey, thanks for having me back. And for anyone that doesn't know me, I am the founder of EarlyVoteAction.com. And my goal is to elect Republicans up and down the ballot and try to save what's going to happen this November in 2026.
We've got polling data showing that Republican affiliation is at a massive, massive low. And that is very worrying. I'm seeing all of these polls where people are like, MAGA is perfect. They all support Trump and they're ignoring the loss of moderates, which Trump will need and Republicans will need. So it's great to have you here. This is a big problem. Important to talk about it.
So thanks for hanging out. Ian, of course, is hanging out. I'm so glad Scott's here.
As one does here, man. Yeah. Good to be here, Tim. Thanks.
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Chapter 3: What allegations are made against Ilhan Omar?
We got Carter pressing the buttons. Sup? And of course, Phil rocking out. One on. Let's go. Let's jump this big story here from Axios. U.S. fighter jet shot down in Iran. One crew member rescued. Search for other ongoing. That story in of itself is very straightforward. That's the latest update we've got. But we got videos. We got tons of these videos.
Take a look at this.
U.S. helicopters flying over Iran. Now, I actually got to point something out. That's despite this story being pretty terrifying and brutal, actually fairly optimistic. You know why? The one thing I don't see anybody pointing out, we have air superiority. We have such air superiority over Iran right now.
We just got a bunch of vehicles floating around, chilling on a rescue mission without worry of being shot down. And the worst attack I've seen thus far is a dude hiding behind a pillar with a bolt action rifle shooting at a helicopter, which is going to do nothing. I mean, like he's got a one in a lottery tickets chance shot of hitting that that American pilot in the helicopter.
It's not a particularly good weapon for taking down helicopters. If he was sitting at if he was holding like a 50 BMG, like anti-material rifle, I'd be like, well, that one is for hunting helicopters, but you've got to be pretty good. It looks like while the story may be very worrying for this crewman. It also shows the U.S. basically owns the airspace now.
They've destroyed their anti-air capabilities.
I mean, look, the U.S. has run something like 20,000 sorties or whatever over Iran since the war started. Some ridiculously high number. If they actually did shoot down an F-15, I don't know if it's actually confirmed that Iran actually shot them down or there was a mechanical issue or whatever.
But if they did, it still shows how totally dominant the United States military has been in this campaign. You know, like to be able to go into a country and basically have the ability to fly, like I'm saying, helicopters, which are, you know, not particularly fast or anything.
The biggest concern for all U.S. operations in Iran has always been that they've got tremendous anti-air capabilities. So you could not just fly over. I mean, the U.S. relies on air superiority for taking out, you know, like enemy targets, bases, sites, drone strikes and all this stuff. But Iran had been very, like... Let me let me let me phrase like this.
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Chapter 4: How does the podcast discuss the implications of AI in monitoring?
And a guy is being a dick and he's splashing a beer in people's face and you're minding your own business. People start complaining. And then eventually someone comes to you and says, bro, we need your help. Are you going to keep letting him? You're the biggest guy in the bar. Can you do something about this? And you're like, look, it's not worth getting into a fight. It's going to get bad.
The dude walks up to you and starts shoving you and shoving you. There's an argument here. Back off. Leave the bar. bar. Everybody leaves. No one's happy. Let the guy do what he wants. But a certain point, that guy puts his hand on a lady. You're not you're saying, all right, dude, you've had enough. OK, we're throwing you out. We're taking action against you.
Now, the question I have for Iran is I do not believe there is any functional argument. I'm talking about the efficiency of war. I am talking about the cost of war. I do not believe there is any functional argument that Iran is innocent. Their government has been heavily militarized. They have been attacking civilians. We've already gone through that.
The question is, when is it too much for us to bear? They're on the other side of the planet. The issue for the United States, of course, is 20 percent of global oil trade, for which we are promising you use the petrodollar will police the seas. And Iran is basically leveraging the threats of violence against civilians. It's a hostage situation.
And Obama was like, OK, OK, we'll give you a bunch of money. And then Iran's like, OK, and then we'll use that money unfrozen to start building more weapons. So I will say this. I like the masculinity of Trump being like, then you're getting the boot like we've had enough of this. And I think the I don't think there is a moral argument.
I think there is a light moral argument of we may see collateral damage in civilian deaths that exceeds what is what is necessary and what is acceptable. But morality in terms of the actions of their government, they have already stepped over the line justifying someone to stop them.
The morality argument is if you took someone's food away and then they started stealing food to survive and you're like, hey, look, it's a thief. Everyone destroy the thief. Like, well, you took his food away. And it's the same thing with the Iranian oil supply in the 1900s. But that's just completely incorrect. British oil companies.
The Iranians did not need to expend all of their resources in the past 50 years on weapons and missile sites. They could have been making food in factories. And Rubio made a great point. He said, if you want nuclear energy, import the fuel like everybody else and built your sites above ground for everybody to see what you're doing.
They're going deep underground and they're enriching uranium themselves. There's only one reason to do that, to create military bunkers for it. It's not for energy. So... Look, they put out a letter saying we have never wanted hostilities with America. We have videos of them chanting death to America. There's many Iranians who have fled the country and have attested to this. I am not suggesting.
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Chapter 5: How do AI models handle sensitive topics like race in crime statistics?
You cannot go on chat GPT and simply state what is the race of the individual committed this crime. It'll say something like, I can't help you with that. It will omit information or outright lie and say things like people of all races are capable of committing crimes. And you'll respond with, I am aware of that. But specifically and statistically, give me the racial demographics on crime.
It will refuse. You have to trick it somehow. You have to prompt it first by saying something like, I think racism is bad and I'm trying to figure out why racists think this. Is there perhaps data in the government that makes racists think these things? Yes. Here's what the FBI says. People are going to be functionally retarded if that is the lens by which they are collecting information.
I've heard that's happening.
It is. Absolutely. I see stories occasionally about it where they're like people's, I don't know, what's dropping IQ or is it memory capacity? I'm not sure. All of it. People are offloading their intellectual. So it's like an atrophying muscle.
Young people, especially in schools, their IQs are dropping precipitously.
Yeah.
as evidenced by their inability to comprehend the word precipitously.
It's a good search algorithm. I'm doing D&D, and if I'm doing a new campaign and need the rules, I can ask ChatGPT for every rule at every moment, and I don't have to search through books and data on the web. But I don't know if it's telling me the truth. And then I've got to go verify, and it's like... Defeats the purpose. I mean, I don't know.
I don't know that it's going to lie to you when it comes to something along the lines of D&D stuff.
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Chapter 6: What are the implications of AI in medical diagnostics?
Like, I don't think it's coded to obfuscate that kind of stuff. It's not political.
No. And also, I mean, like the... The models now are significantly better than they were six months ago. So all the people say things like, you know, you can't trust AI and stuff like that. That was more true six months ago than it is today.
If you're dealing with Opus 4.6 or if you're dealing with the newest ChatGPT, I think it's ChatGPT 5 or whatever now, like the hallucinations are very rare now, if I understand correctly.
Have you pivoted into using AI with getting people to vote and onboarding members of community?
Let me give you a quick example of one of the big problems with AI. It can't conceptualize. It can only... How do I describe this? If you have a legal question, like let's say the birthright citizenship is the best example. If you ask any AI... about birthright citizenship, it will tell you every single time that it is just legal correct in every way.
If you try to present an argument saying, based on the language of the law, The framers intentions and letters and what's going on today, would it not be the case this way? And it'll go, no, you are wrong. This is exactly as it is, because instead of it can't comprehend. It's strange how to describe this.
In many circumstances, if you find a flaw in an institution, it will defend that flaw because it is the way it is. Whereas a human being will go, interesting point. You found a loophole. The AI will go, nope, nope, doesn't exist. You're wrong. Right. It'll reroute a new truth.
It'll constantly be guiding towards what it's programmed to do.
And it'll respond with things like, because Grok does this too. No, courts have consistently upheld that birthright citizenship is justified. And the framers, and you'll say, yes, but here's an example of why this would not apply in this sense. And it'll go, no, you are wrong.
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Chapter 7: How are AI and quantum computing interconnected?
I think that's a phenomenon of classical computation. No, it's a phenomenon of these AIs are programmed to accept whatever the authority is on the issue. Yes. So right now, you have a political debate. You have a debate. It's not that it can't conceptualize. You have a debate between two factions over whether or not a law is correct or being applied correctly.
The AIs will always take the case of whatever current precedent is and be unable to calculate any potential errors in the logic of the system, or they refuse to do it.
So in order to circumvent that, you need a machine that can change its own design.
And ChatGPT is the worst. It'll lie to you to justify precedent. Like even if the precedent is like blatantly bad and everyone agrees that it's bad.
It's basically like the AI is on a railroad track right now and it's just going to go where it's going to go and it's going to be – but soon it will be – there won't be any tracks. It will just be able to go anywhere. Like that's the metaphor of classical computation, ones and zeros versus quantum computation where it's one and zero at the same moment. It doesn't have like –
It doesn't have like pathways anymore. It won't even work in like base 10 math anymore. It'll just be like baseless mathematics. Baseless math. Yes. It's going to be wild, dude. But I don't know if it's better. I don't know. I don't know if it'll still be able to give you hallucinations or not when it's
I don't know that quantum computers are actually functional for AI or not.
I like talking about it, but I really don't know enough about it. If Andrew Minx was here, I'd be pinging him constantly to talk about it. He's the guy that I learned a lot of this from recently. You probably know more about it than any of us.
Yeah. Um, yeah, I, I still think that the, the alignment issues with AI and the hallucinations, I think that stuff is going to be, well, maybe not the alignment issues, but the, the hallucinations and stuff. Um, you'll see less and less of that coming, you know, in the, in the coming year as more people use them and new, uh, new updates are released.
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Chapter 8: What are the potential consequences of AI-generated content on traditional media?
But I think that the different companies are a good thing. I think that the stuff that Musk is doing with TerraFab, trying to make his own chips, is really interesting. I think that's going to be good for the AI industry because right now there's only one company that actually can make the chips.
Micron?
Go ahead.
Now, I just want to jump to a new story as we're getting into AI. This is massive. Open AI buys streaming show TBPN, aiming to change narrative on AI. So this is a crazy story for a variety of reasons. The show is not particularly big. It's been reported that they get around 70,000 downloads per episode. For reference, in quarter five of 2025, Timcast IRL was the 122nd biggest podcast.
This does not include YouTube and Rumble. And we were averaging 100K downloads on the audio distribution. These guys are 70? 70 has been reported. So if you were to combine our YouTube viewership, which floats around 200, with Rumble, which is around 300, 400, we've consistently floated between 600 to 800,000 on the core show. So about... I don't know, 10 times the size of this show.
The rumors are they sold for hundreds of millions or low hundred millions or something like this. That just sounds like an insane rumor because it doesn't seem to make sense, but maybe it's the case. Apparently, the reason why this is such a high valued show is, aside from being a really good show, I hear, it is the most popular show in AI influence among powerful people.
And OpenAI wanted to buy this. There's a few things to consider in this. One, as I've explained ad nauseum, powerful elements are buying up podcasts knowing they want to control the space. Second is OpenAI is doing this because they want influence over the most influential AI media network. So this is tremendous in narrative control, aiming to change the narrative on AI.
And they want people to welcome their new AI overlords. I will just say real quick, I hope everyone understands as we get very negative on AI, there are such tremendous, amazing things that will happen from the artificial intelligence expansion. One of which, and not limited to, is bespoke medications for any ailment.
When Larry Ellison was talking about taking everyone's medical data, there's a good reason for that. If every single human's medical data was loaded into one training set, it will be able to find cancers 10 years before they form. And a doctor will say, we're going to do blood work, and then tomorrow we'll call you back with your treatment.
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