Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
America’s Economic Breakdown, Minnesota’s Political Bombshell & The Rise of Gen1 Robots | The Tom Bilyeu Show LIVE
07 Jan 2026
Chapter 1: What insights does Tom Bilyeu share about the economic outlook for 2026?
Happy New Year, everybody. Welcome back. 2026 is going to be a banger, as we will see today. This is wild. I am excited to be back in the seat. I had a wonderful break. Drew, welcome back. I hope you had an equally wonderful break.
I need one more day.
Yeah, that hence the outfit. I need one more day. I wish people could see the pajama pants and everything. Drew walked in. Eric, we called you the dude. So there it is, everybody. Drew needs one more day. I do not. I am ready to go. I was chomping at the bit this morning. Over the weekend, the absolute world was popping off. This was so wild.
I know we have a big super chat though we wanted to get to.
Indeed we do. From Johnny Goodnight 4710 for 100 bucks. Thank you so much for that. No joke. Tom, I've been waiting for you to go live. Will you say you believe that we'll make it? Especially if we do the 26 things you laid out in your video. My name is Goodnight Johnny Goodnight and my life will and is forever change. Thanks Tom and team.
Well, I appreciate that. It's very easy for me to say individually, yes, you can make it. You will make it if you do the right things. I won't be so bold as to say that I am flawless. And so just do the 26 things that I say and you're going to be perfectly fine. They are an incredibly good start. They are how I live my life.
But I would adjust my behavior immediately if I saw different feedback from the market. That's very important for me to state. You cannot just get a piece of paper and go, I'm just going to execute against this. I think at an individual level, if you have the requisite intelligence, you are going to be fine no matter what happens.
So at that place, I don't fret where I fret is that there are call it half of the world that doesn't have the time or the intellectual bandwidth to figure all that stuff out. And we owe them good architecture. cultural architecture so that they can just live their life. So anyway, I feel a moral obligation to do that. So when I'm sending out warnings, it's really about the architectural level.
Never worried about the average human. The average human just follow Ray Dalio's advice, economically anyway, around an all weather strategy and you'll be fine. You might not come out the other side wealthy and any of your friends that yellow into something that hits, they're going to look at you and laugh. But anybody that invests like that is going to be toasted.
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Chapter 2: How does the Minnesota political landscape impact local governance?
And there is a point at which when it's based on I can still own my private property, it's mine, that people go along with it. Some of it's go along to get along. Some of it is, yeah, it's better that certain things like the military being the most obvious that are handled at the level of the government. And yes, I speaking for myself, I don't want an anarchic system.
I don't want a libertarian system. I want a well-functioning, lightly regulated capitalist system. Cool. So the goal is to how much tax can you take from people where everybody feels good about it and take that and you help people. And all of that is wonderful and beautiful. And I think it's amazing. What they're talking about is they're saying change your relationship to property.
What they're talking about is getting rid of private property. So you can't own the property yourself. You can do something with it if you've got the right approvals and all of that. But it's not owned by you. It's owned by the government. Now, do things get better or worse when the government takes it over?
Worse always and forever because there's no money signal price signal there's no competition and so there's no one forcing you to get better when you only have one department of water and power in your town they're going to be ass when you only have one internet service provider they're going to be ass. when the government runs something, it's just going to be ass, like by definition.
As a quick reminder, the rate of retirement from the United States government is bottlenecked by how fast we can move files into a mine where the files are stored. In the age of AI and computers, we still physically move the files into a mine shaft. Okay, that's real. I'm not making that up. So that's what happens when the government runs something.
So with all these pushes, I've seen something. I was trying to find the article. I couldn't find it. But, you know, Mamdani did something as research the permit pipeline to build new housing and what boggles down the New York housing, build housing process down. So if he were to do certain things that would be, let's just call it,
Democratic socialism, like we're going to do 75% capitalism, 25% socialism on certain aspects.
Democratic socialism is socialism. Social democracy, which is what I think you're getting at. He said democratic socialism. He said democratic socialism, not social democracy. So social democracy is ultra high tax across everyone. It's the Nordic model. Okay, copy. Democratic socialism is socialism, period.
Okay. So you're saying all the nuances, he's not going toward Nordic, he's going full socialism. Correct. Communism. Okay. I had some people in the chat disagree. They are wrong.
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Chapter 3: What role do robots play in the future of employment?
But one, first, what are we trying to do? And does everyone agree with that? So everyone would have to agree with the desired outcome. Then you would have to be right at every step as to what to do to get to that desired outcome. And then you could ignore the will of the people because you're able to get them to their desired outcome. But I'll just put it to you. If there was a powerful AI...
And if you did exactly what it told you to do and it would lead to a good outcome, would you completely give up your will and just do what the AI says? Some very meaningful percentage of people are going to say, absolutely not. On principle alone, I'm not going to do that. So what on earth makes you think that they're going to do it for a government that, A, is
doesn't have an end state that everyone agrees with is wrong a lot. And so now people have a reason to say, I disagree and think we should do it this way. And once somebody disagrees, what do you have to do to get them in line? You have to shut them up, lock them up, whatever. Kill them tends to be a very popular answer. So I'm just like, bro, when I, okay.
So there's a fascinating thing that people will do when they come up with a new philosophy on investing. And they'll say, if you had invested this way from like 1901 until today, how many years would you have been up? How many years would you have been down? People do not do this with ideology. They don't go, oh, with this ideology, not not what would have happened. What did happen? Oh, shit.
This ideology killed more people than basically anything. So socialism killed way more people than war. But I think most people agree war sucks, but they don't agree socialism and communism suck. I don't I don't understand. I can give you a reason in terms of the way that people are peristatized by their own emotions. Which make them connect dots that don't actually connect.
And they think because this feels right, it must be right. It must actually work. But they don't understand how the human mind is actually architected. Go ahead.
From the chat, they said, yes, we need a different relationship with property. How else could it become affordable if the prices will continue to go up?
They're already wrong. So you don't need a different relationship with property. You need a different relationship with money. The problem is right now, people do not understand how they've been taken advantage of by debt and money printing. So money printing is very simple. The government saying, I'm going to take more of your money and I'm going to do it without you having to vote on it.
If people understood money printing as that, then every time we go over budget, they would understand that the government is saying, I'm still going to take this money from you. And the reason it gets complicated is because the government is technically taking it from anybody who holds dollars. But they're still taking it. And I presume everybody that can hear my voice right now is they're
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Chapter 4: How can individuals navigate the complexities of economic systems?
And it's like, I'll take the OK. I'm the guy that you come to who's like, hey, listen, there are fucking patterns. Let's look at all those patterns. Also, I don't think I'm the luckiest guy on planet Earth. So I'm like, yeah, like I could get hit by whatever this problem is. I will not see the future clearly. So the odds that I get all of this right are basically zero.
So I'm going to try to diversify as much as I can. That's what you're here for. So if you're here for somebody to fucking stand up and beat their chest and say, I know everything perfectly and this is all going to work out just like this and put all your money in, X, Y, Z, you're on the wrong fucking show. Stick around. We'll be right back after this.
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All right, let's dive right back in. We got to talk about this breaking news. Tim Waltz has dropped out of the 2026 Minnesota governor's race. Praise Jesus. Played by the Somali daycare, health care, all types of fraud. They were frauding everybody over there.
This is wild. He was talking so much shit up to like 45 minutes ago that I did not see this one coming. I'll be honest. Now, is this part of him like making a deal? Like, do not pursue me legally and I'll peace out. Maybe. So, all right, let's play it.
I haven't heard this yet. So, um, This is what happens when your own federal government wages war against you. This is what happens when they target communities for their own benefit. This is what happens when they scapegoat. And this is what happens when they no longer hide the idea of white supremacy.
When you hear the vice president of the United States talk about now white people won't have to apologize for being white. That's never happened once in my whole damn life. And I think everybody in this room knows what they're doing. So we're here today to say enough of this. We're here today to stand that Minnesota will protect their neighbors.
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Chapter 5: What are the implications of collectivism in modern society?
And this really needs to be about what actually works. And efficiency of tax dollar works. works. Wild inefficiency, massive amounts of fraud are how you bankrupt a country. And we think that money printing to cover all of that works. And it doesn't. It leads to the morally bankrupt economic system that we have currently that people are blaming on capitalism.
It has absolutely nothing to do with capitalism and has everything to do with debt and money printing.
Somebody asked, can you clarify the corruption that Walt specifically you think is guilty of? Is it one of those things that was just under his watch so it falls to him?
People are assuming that I think that Walt is corrupt. I don't know if Walt is corrupt. That needs to be investigated. What I'm saying is... His tone does not say, I care deeply about the corruption. And obviously, if there's corruption, we have to solve this immediately. If when the Nick Shirley thing came out, he held a press conference and was like, holy hell, this is wild. These are crazy.
We've got to look into this. I don't just take his word for everything, but this is worthy of investigation. I'm going to be working with the federal government. I'm going to be working with state and local officials. The one thing everyone in my state needs to know is that your tax dollars are being spent efficiently. He did not do that.
He went on the campaign trail and was beating the drum to make sure that Somalis want to vote for him. And listen, man, I get it. Like there is... It is impossible to get a man to understand something where his paycheck depends on him not understanding it. He famous quote, poorly phrased by me, I'm sure. But the idea is that he gets elected in part through Somalis voting as a block.
And because of that, politicians in Minnesota make sure that they appeal to that voting block. And instead of going, what's my North Star? I want to make sure that Minnesotans are thriving on every metric that the government can influence. And I'm going to list the top 25, whatever.
And so we're going to go through and we're going to make sure that the programs that we have are positively influencing the metrics that we care about. And I would suggest that they reduce it to five. But anyway, and so we look at those five metrics and we say, cool, is this program helping that hurting that neutral of that? If it's helping, we do more of it. If it's neutral, maybe yes, maybe no.
If it's hurting, definitely no. But that's not how he's running the state. He's just thinking about this is the first time I'm going to say it in 2026, but it won't be the last. Politicians will do and say what ever. horrific lie they need to tell in order to gain and retain power. Once you understand that, then you understand what's going on here.
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Chapter 6: How does inflation affect personal finances and investments?
What happened there? What did he do there? I don't know if the blue line is that, but it looks like it is. Yeah, it is. What did he do?
When was that? I think that's when he announced he wasn't returning to governor. I have to check.
Yeah, that was in August. Wow.
I mean, from his perspective, that's what's left. That's the only thing that's remaining. Wow.
Man, that one is heartbreaking.
Yeah, but to the point with this Tim Wall situation, the left kind of backtracking on a lot of the gender affirming care and things like that, they ran on in 2020. I don't honestly know what the Democratic platform is in 2028. So that's why there's like 40% socialism. Yeah, like that's just the biggest block. But I don't think the DNC is up to that.
They don't want that. They are. They are. So they're all eyes on Mamdani right now. He won in a landslide in the economic center of the United States. If you're in the Democratic Party and you're not like that, then you're dumb as a box of rocks. It's like, dude, every day a boomer dies. And you're if you're trying to appeal, Gen Xers are going to be a big question mark.
But if you're trying to appeal to millennials, Gen Z, and I don't know if any Gen Alphas can vote yet. I don't know what their top age is or will be able to in 2028. But, bro, they all want to hear that socialism works. And that's exactly how Mamdani got going. Mamdani knows how to make the unpalatable sound palatable. And they're all historically illiterate.
And so they'll be like, yeah, this is dope. That is exactly what you should do. And because it goes like this, the economy is broken. Can we agree? Yes. Like even that asshole Tom Bilyeu agrees the economy is broken. What is the economy? Capitalism. So what's broken? Capitalism. How do we fix it? Socialism. That's the logic. It's wrong, but that is exactly what's going to happen.
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Chapter 7: What are the ethical considerations of automation in the workplace?
The humans is getting in the way of not wanting it to happen.
A thousand percent. And to be honest- Yeah. Do, do your thing. Create friction. It's, it's one of those where, um, the whole thing that I'm fighting for is people need to be able to say what they believe to be true. People need to be able to fight for the things that they think are right. And you do not want somebody from the top down telling them to shut up and sit down.
Now I want to be able to make my best case argument for why they shouldn't do it. But the fact that some people are really going to feel like, no, no, no, we got to slow this down. Yeah. Do their thing. They, as long as they're fighting within the rules, they should fight. I'm going to fight just as hard on the other side, but they should fight for what they believe to be right.
So, uh, I don't mind that kind of friction. I think in the end it's silly, uh, because any technology that promises an advantage will be developed because like I was saying before, the architecture of the human mind, anything that you can exploit to get an advantage, people will to the maximum every time.
Is there some initiative then to maybe go into areas that are a bit less sexy then? For example, we were talking about the Dyson robot before break that harvests the strawberries. And it's like, okay, that's an immigrant population. They usually rely on other low-wage labor to get that job off the ground.
Should that be kind of the initial focus on AI to at least maybe get it off the ground to not have those labor laws or those protests or picketing?
Because I feel like right now- I think it should be way simpler than that. If you have strawberries that need to be picked because the price at which It costs you to pick them now as a price people are not willing to pay at the grocery store. Get a robot in there to pick them, innovate your way to creating a product that people want.
This is why I say you have to understand humans as economic engines. Once you understand that we all want to get things, food, shelter, clothing, I don't even need you to go all the way to video games and shit like that. But like there are things that we need and we don't want to have to spend our entire day playing the survival crafting game that is life, going out and finding our own food.
That's how you starve to death in the winter. And so we ran that experiment. We, for God knows how many tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of years, we were all playing an episode of Alone. And so it was like, yeah, people just dying all the time. And so we're like, all right, this sucks. Let's start living in bigger groups. Let's start specializing.
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Chapter 8: What actionable steps can be taken to improve economic stability?
Bye.