Tropical System developing near Gulf Coast as heavy rain threat grows | Tracking the Tropics
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What is the developing tropical system near the Gulf Coast and why is it a rainmaker?
The tropics are waking up. We've got potential tropical cycle in one out there. How it could be a huge rainmaker on this week's episode of Tracking the Tropics.
Live from our hurricane headquarters, with real-time analysis from some of the nation's top meteorologists, this is Tracking the Tropics, powered by Bose Generators.
Sometime the tropics were going to start to wake up, and it looks like we are seeing signs of life in the Gulf. And so thank you for joining us for this week's episode of Tracking the Tropics. I'm Meteorologist Rebecca Berry here at the WFLA Streaming Center. We're joined by our co-host, meteorologist Juliana Mejia, and our other co-host, meteorologist Justin Mosley. You guys, it's it's the start of the season.
Shaking off the dust.
Exactly, exactly. And so everyone wants to know exactly what we can expect out of this system. So we're gonna send meteorologist Juliana over to the wall to give us the latest on potential tropical cyclone one. It does look like it's gonna be a rainmaker. She's gonna break it down exactly why we're expecting that out of this system. So take it away, Juliana.
Yeah, taking a look here at uh potential tropical cyclone one. Uh with the latest here from the National Hurricane Center and uh 30 mile per hour max winds. Again, this is kind of working its way over the Northwest Gulf. There are now active tropical storm watches that we'll take a closer look at here in just a moment. This is forecast to strengthen into Tropical Storm Arthur, will be the first name of the season. Uh, into the overnight, if not into early tomorrow, and then roll. its way back over the North Gulf into portions of eastern Texas, if not crossing over Louisiana. Again, so the good news here, at least you know, for most areas along the Gulf Coast, is that this is going to stay a relatively weak system.
As Rebecca said, namely a rainmaker in this scenario, with the spaghetti model plots here showing that very brief window that this spins over portions of the Gulf, if not mainly state. staying on shore throughout the next 24 hours or so. There's a look at the active tropical storm watches right now from uh south rather I should say the southeast coast of Texas and over into coastal portions of Louisiana right now. Also currently active is a slew of flood watches, a handful of flood warnings already active, as well as flash flood warnings across portions of Texas and over into Louisiana because of what has been a stalled-out boundary. And that is already dumping lots of rain across Texas and over into Louisiana.
So now attacking on top of that is going to be What is potentially tropical storm Arthur? Here's a look at the intensity model plots where this does sh highlight, again, the low-end chance that we see a tropical storm out of this, at least likely to transition into a tropical depression. A potential tropical cyclone is what we refer to quite literally as a system or an area of low pressure that has the potential to transition into a tropical. system. So that's what the National Hurricane Center kind of denotes for some of these areas of interest. So that kind of upgrades from an invest to then a potential tropical cyclone. So it likely at least to get a depression out of this, if not a tropical storm, a brief tropical storm.
And if it became a storm, it would take on the name Arthur. So here's a look at that area of low pressure, maybe tropical system here, working its way across the northern portions of the Gulf Coast. that stalled out boundary also there again being the boundary that has already dumped so much rain across portions of Texas and Louisiana, bringing all of that tropical moisture, sliding it across the southeast and even hopefully here down into the peninsula of Florida over the next few days. And I say hopefully because here in the Tampa Bay area we've largely been missing out on some much needed rain. So here's a look at the uh forecast model specifically the European showing the um you could see lack of organization with the system, so this isn't anything to necessarily be too worried about in terms of strength.
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Chapters
8 chapters
1
What is the developing tropical system near the Gulf Coast and why is it a rainmaker?
0:01–4:11
2
How are meteorologists assessing the potential for Tropical Storm Arthur?
4:11–7:39
3
What are the current tropical storm watches, flood watches, and warnings for Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi?
7:39–10:27
4
Why is the "potential tropical cyclone" designation important for public alerts?
10:27–13:42
5
How does the system’s moisture and movement affect rainfall forecasts for the Gulf Coast and inland areas?
13:42–16:52
6
What insurance considerations (homeowners, flood, hurricane deductibles) should listeners keep in mind?
16:52–20:17
7
Will this system produce tornadoes or severe wind threats in the Southwest Gulf region?
20:17–22:53
8
What are the listeners’ questions about future development and the upcoming hurricane season?
22:53–25:49
Speakers
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