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Melbourne vs. Hawthorn preview | Strategy 2026 with Brenton Sanderson (14.05.26)

14 May 2026

Transcription

Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.

Chapter 1: What makes the Saturday twilight clash between Melbourne and Hawthorn special?

0.031 - 12.171 Unknown

Saturday twilight's a beauty at the MCG. It's been marketed so well. It's the Picket Pocket and the Wizard Bay, Melbourne and Hawthorne, which with much to appeal, Sandoz. So let's dig into it, shall we?

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12.391 - 35.847 Brenton Sanderson

Yeah, this is awesome. This will, um, and I think the biggest thing for me to just to kick it off, Gerard, will be, um, one man, Max Gaunt. Like I, uh... I just think him in the midfield versus Reeves and Meek, and then you throw in Newcomb, who's playing exceptionally well for the Hawks, and Ward and McKenzie. Nash is a big out for them versus Sparrow, Windsor, Pickett, and Steele.

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35.867 - 52.637 Brenton Sanderson

They're not names that we would have said 10 weeks ago that would be critical to deciding this game. But I just think with Max, if he can give Melbourne first use at stoppage It'll just enable them to control territory in this game. So Melbourne have won clearance three weeks in a row.

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Chapter 2: Why is Max Gawn critical for Melbourne's midfield strategy?

52.717 - 70.175 Brenton Sanderson

And obviously they're coached really well by Stephen King, who was a great ruckman in his own right and knows clearances and stoppage work really well. And Hawthorne are coming off a really poor stoppage performance against Fremantle where they lost by 12. So, I mean, having said that, though, Hawthorne's midfield, they are so dynamic when the ball gets outside.

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70.195 - 94.301 Brenton Sanderson

I talked about Nash being a loss this week, but their ability to be able to spread from contests and attack corridor space has been a great strength of theirs this season. So I think the Hawks, if they can just break even with Max Gorn and that midfield of Windsor and Pickett and Steele and Sparrow. Yeah, I mean, Melbourne's outside run's been just as impressive really, hasn't it?

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94.342 - 109.583 Brenton Sanderson

So it's going to be a great area of the game to track. But I feel like, you know, Max Gorn might just be... A one man, if he can get it on top and have one of those Max Gorn type games, that he might be a key element to whether Melbourne can upset the Hawks on the weekend.

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109.603 - 114.808 Unknown

Hawthorne's ball movements, the way they kick it, will it be too much for Melbourne's defensive structure?

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114.908 - 129.281 Brenton Sanderson

Yeah, I think it will. I think it will. Hawthorne, they've looked so dangerous when they move the ball quickly by foot and the way they change angles through the corridor by hand. I mean, their confidence and their attacking overlap has been one of the major features of their game. this year.

129.381 - 151.238 Brenton Sanderson

And unfortunately for Melbourne, despite having the AFL's fourth best offense, they are 14th for scores against the Demons. So they're giving up 97 points per week on average. So they've just got to look for a way to lock the ball in their front half and deny Hawthorne that uncontested mark change that they're doing so well. They've just got to force Hawthorne a kick long down the line.

151.278 - 163.776 Brenton Sanderson

They can't give them the corridor. They can't give them that short kicking game that they've been doing so well. So, yeah, I just feel if Hawthorne get clean exits from their D50, that's going to really expose Melbourne's transitional defence.

Chapter 3: How will Hawthorn's key outs impact their performance?

163.876 - 169.324 Brenton Sanderson

And that open space defence has been probably the one area that they've been lacking a little bit this year so far, the Demons.

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169.304 - 172.287 Unknown

What about the inverse, Melbourne with their own speed?

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172.367 - 193.59 Brenton Sanderson

Yeah, well, I mentioned it. They're looking as good as anyone outside the contest at the moment. And I know, you know, Cozzy Pickett's impact. I spoke about Max Gorm, but Cozzy Pickett might just be the game breaker that Melbourne will need in this game. You know, previously Melbourne's forward line wasn't as creative and dangerous because of the way that they moved the ball.

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193.57 - 209.551 Brenton Sanderson

But now with Pickett in the midfield, I know you take him out of the forward line, but with more midfield minutes, that changes Melbourne's forward line instantly. So we're seeing Chandler, we're seeing Sharp, Van Rooyen. They're all improving this season on the back of, I think, quicker entries to lower numbers.

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209.611 - 227.896 Brenton Sanderson

And even Fritch, he always benefits from Melbourne's ability to get the ball in there quickly before the opposition can get back and get all their numbers back. And then obviously Latrell, Pickett, he doesn't bring goals. He's only kicked four. Four from nine. But yeah, defensive pressure and creativity has just been so important for Melbourne as well.

228.276 - 230.319 Unknown

All right. Could Melbourne score enough if it's a shootout?

231.421 - 251.792 Brenton Sanderson

They might be able to. They're averaging 101 points per game, the Demons. Hawks are averaging 100. So if you just look at the data, 101 versus 100. But I just think Hawthorne have regularly been able to score in bursts. So the Demons have just got to make sure they wrestle back momentum when the Hawks do go on those inevitable scoring runs that they get.

251.772 - 263.653 Brenton Sanderson

And I guess what Stephen King will battle with this week is how much of Melbourne's natural game plan that we've seen so far, how much will they need to sacrifice in order to prevent it becoming all out offense only?

264.114 - 272.869 Brenton Sanderson

So that'll be, I think the biggest challenge is I think they'll kick a good score Melbourne, but you just don't want Hawthorne to have an absolute field day by, you know, kicking a hundred plus.

Chapter 4: What are the strengths and weaknesses of Hawthorn's midfield?

280.93 - 284.682 Unknown

Melbourne's game. What's Sam Mitchell looking to break down?

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284.83 - 301.628 Brenton Sanderson

Yeah, so I think what Sam Mitchell will focus on in this one, Gerard, and Melbourne are playing, we've seen, with so much confidence and belief in their attacking instincts. So Hawthorne are just trying to get the game on their terms. So I think they'll be happy to keep it transitional and they'll rely really heavily on their defensive systems.

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301.708 - 316.485 Brenton Sanderson

But that's going to be tested without Barass behind the ball. He's such an important player for them. And now you take Gunston out of the forward line as well. But I think Sam Mitchell, he will still want that fast ball movement. He will still want overlap run. He will still want to access the corridor.

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317.026 - 334.589 Brenton Sanderson

But he will just want to make sure that Hawthorne get the balance right with their forward half pressure. So their defensive systems, he'll definitely back that in. And he'll look for an opportunity to play at the right time in that offense that we love, but with great defensive system and really good contest method.

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334.609 - 339.475 Brenton Sanderson

I think they're probably the three basic areas that Sam Mitchell will focus on this week.

339.792 - 342.676 Unknown

Who will be more dominant, Cozzy or Wizard?

343.217 - 363.826 Brenton Sanderson

It's interesting. I heard the boys talking about it on breakfast this morning. I would take Cozzy at the moment, but I love watching Watson play. I know that's sort of sitting on the fence, but yeah, Cozzy Pickett's the game breaker. I think you can shut down Watson if you've got the right matchup a bit easier, but Pickett is an absolute game breaker. All right.

364.347 - 365.108 Unknown

How does it play out?

366.191 - 380.38 Brenton Sanderson

I just think Melbourne are going to... If Melbourne are going to win this, they need to make Hawthorne uncomfortable early. So Hawthorne will want to absorb that pressure and then use speed and skill to open the game up. But this is just going to be... This could be a really entertaining game.

Chapter 5: How can Melbourne leverage their outside run against Hawthorn?

380.461 - 400.013 Brenton Sanderson

This could be one of those Malcolm Blights first to 100 wins, but... I don't know, both sides are really fun to watch with the ball. They're so creative. They play with a lot of dare. I just like the ability of Hawthorne to be able to defend the ground better. And I think they're slightly ahead, or they are definitely ahead in their development with a complete game plan.

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400.274 - 421.623 Brenton Sanderson

So as much as we're loving what Stephen King's doing at Melbourne, it's fun to watch them play. They've still got elements of their game plan that they need to tighten up. They're conceding too many marks. They're allowing sides to score too freely. But so, yeah, I think for all the excitement we're seeing, they've got one speed flat out. And that ultimately might hurt them in this game.

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421.684 - 433.779 Brenton Sanderson

So it'll be tighter than what people think. I know a lot of people are tipping Hawthorne to win easily, but it might be tighter than that. Maybe three to four goals for the Hawks, I think, in this one. But I'd love it to be open and entertaining. It could be a ripper.

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434.66 - 437.704 Unknown

Let's just hear a little bit of Stephen King here on Hawthorne.

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438.123 - 454.363 Stephen King

Look forward to Saturday afternoon at the G against the Hawks. I think everyone will be really excited about that game and we can't wait to get into that one. Both teams can score heavily when they want to and we'll be going at the game attacking it pretty hard as well. So they play a really good brand of footy. They've got talent everywhere.

454.403 - 469.562 Stephen King

We're going to have to be at our best and that's a great opportunity for our players to another benchmark game for us to see where we're at. We've taken challenges well so far this year and one we get to do at our home ground at the MCG. The benchmark opportunities. Yeah, it's awesome.

469.722 - 470.504 Brenton Sanderson

He's doing really well, Kenny.

470.584 - 483.947 Unknown

Yeah, he is. I think they're a great chance. So I defaulted to tipping Hawthorne on the way through. And then the more I think about the bookends missing, it's hard for any team to absorb their full back and their full forward not being there.

484.087 - 488.655 Brenton Sanderson

Coming back from Perth too. Yeah. Sneaky chance, the demons.

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