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Whateley

Round 14 preview | Strategy 2026 with Brenton Sanderson (11.06.26)

11 Jun 2026

Transcription

Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.

Chapter 1: What insights did Brenton Sanderson share about Gary Ablett Jr's Hall of Fame induction?

0.031 - 11.427 Gerard Whateley

Strategy 2026 with Brenton Sanderson. Hello, Sando. G'day, Gerard. How you doing? I'm well. Before we delve into any of this, I saw you at the Hall of Fame inductions on Tuesday night. An absolute favourite of yours was there.

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11.868 - 32.022 Brenton Sanderson

Yeah, it was an amazing night, Gerard, and well done to you for hosting it. I thought Craig Drummond was excellent too in his first time as... As the chairman, sorry, as the chair of the AFL, he was brilliant. But to see Gary Ablett Jr. get inducted, which we knew he would as soon as he was eligible, he was going straight in.

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32.383 - 54.523 Brenton Sanderson

Unbelievable player and lucky enough to play with him and lucky enough to coach him as well. So give us an insight into what did you see firsthand? Well, I know there's stories – there's no story that hasn't been told about Gary Ablett Jr. And I thought Tom Harley did a fantastic job in sort of setting it up for Gary then to take the stage. But, I mean, he was –

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54.723 - 79.06 Brenton Sanderson

The burden of having the same name as your father anyway, because I actually played with Gary Senior as well. I played two seasons, 95 and 96. So I'm so grateful that I got to play with all the Ablets, including Nathan, who was there on Tuesday night as well. But Gary Ablet Senior, arguably one of the greatest players, if not the greatest player of all time.

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79.276 - 100.522 Brenton Sanderson

So then his son and Nathan and Gary were always in the change rooms when Gary was playing, when Gary Senior was playing. So they were young boys and they were sort of ratbags. They were constantly in the change rooms getting up to mischief. And as players, we would just kick footies at them and they'd be stealing chewing gum and shorts and socks, whatever, from the property steward.

101.223 - 125.628 Brenton Sanderson

And ultimately, when Gary became eligible for father-son, enormous expectations to come in and And to forge his own identity, I guess, which I know he said on the night he chose number 29 after being offered number five. And he quickly became, you know, one of Geelong's all-time greats. He was a half forward, you know, he... By his own admission, he wasn't fit enough.

125.848 - 148.991 Brenton Sanderson

He didn't train hard enough. And it wasn't until the, I guess, the intervention of the leadership group to say, you know, Gary, we need you to be at your best if we're going to win premierships. And boy, oh boy, he did not let anyone down. He quickly became the competition's best player. and helped Geelong become one of the most damaging sides, particularly 07.

149.231 - 173.201 Brenton Sanderson

I mean, 07, 08, 09, he was absolutely brilliant. And then he took his talents to the Gold Coast and just won another Brown Low. So, yeah, like I said, I saw him up close. I played with him. I loved every second that I got to be around him. And he's turned into an incredible person too. And I spoke to him for about 20 minutes after the – after he was inducted the other night.

173.221 - 193.148 Brenton Sanderson

And, um, he is just, uh, uh, a young man now that is full of gratitude and he's humble. And, you know, we're, we're lucky enough to have witnessed him, um, to play and, and, you know, he's absolute superstar. What a cool bookmark to have played with both. Well, the three, the three as well. Like Nathan, Nathan was a seriously good player too.

Chapter 2: What are the key matchups for the Bulldogs vs. Crows game?

786.165 - 799.669 Gerard Whateley

But Bontempele has kicked 19 goals this season. So he... he is the equal threat up forward. It's just Dawson's got the aerial. I think they are, I would always default to Bontempele, but you could argue a winning hand with Dawson if you wanted to.

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799.689 - 821.686 Brenton Sanderson

A hundred percent. And I would encourage any young footballer to go to the game tonight and because you can't see it on TV, what these guys do off the ball as well. So I would go tonight and I would just watch those two, you know, behind the play, what they're doing, leadership, decision-making with ball in hand, all of that stuff. And you'll learn a lot about how to be a gun AFL footballer.

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821.926 - 829.316 Gerard Whateley

Yeah. That's... As good as anything else that happens tonight. Yep. That's right there. All right. So how have you shaken it out?

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829.516 - 851.31 Brenton Sanderson

Well, I just think tonight, the best performing teams against the Crows this year have generally pressured their ball movement first and then attacked them through stoppage dominance and get them on the back foot early. And I talked about the slow starts. So I just think the strongest blueprint has been to make the Bulldogs defend open space rather than out-muscle them around the ball.

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851.43 - 870.345 Brenton Sanderson

And the teams that have forced Bulldogs into transitional games have generally had the better success. So I'm just not sure when you say who's going to win. Last week's win would have taken its toll on the Crows. You know, they just were, they were epic. They were so great. Great confidence builder. And it would have given them enormous belief.

870.446 - 884.248 Brenton Sanderson

But I just think I like the Bulldogs contest method against the Crows tonight. And the dogs at Marvel are so hard to tip against. So it's going to be close. Flip a coin. I'll go the dogs just under a goal. Let's just go one point in the dogs. I love it.

884.348 - 906.624 Gerard Whateley

I hope. I hope it's a thriller in that way. Ripper game. All right, that's the setup for Thursday night footy. Friday night footy. Geelong is fourth. Gold Coast is seventh. The loser will have lost three in a row by the end of Friday night, Brenton Sanderson, which in this competition is a near tailspin. You can lose your place really quickly. So the strategy here becomes all the more important.

906.844 - 919.274 Gerard Whateley

We'll start with, let's do the Cats first. Two great weeks, Brisbane and Sydney. Two close losses against teams that they would have fancied themselves beating. What's been noticeable in their profile?

919.434 - 936.623 Brenton Sanderson

Yeah, well, a couple of things have stood out in the last two weeks. They just haven't been at their best. Their turnover defense has slipped. So the last two weeks, I reckon the opposition teams have been able to move the ball a bit more freely. They haven't been able to set up their defensive shape behind the ball as they were earlier in the year.

Chapter 3: How did the Crows perform in their previous match against Geelong?

1014.237 - 1035.096 Brenton Sanderson

But I just think the thing that Chris Scott will refer to the most this week would be their contest method. So last two weeks, Adelaide and Carlton have matched their contested ball numbers, which has created a lot more intercept opportunities for their opponents. And they just haven't been able to look as dangerous as what they have been with their own transition. That's been really...

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1035.076 - 1061.168 Brenton Sanderson

uh quite uh quite noticeable and it feels like Geelong's defense is having to work harder than what it what it wants to so they're not necessarily playing poorly um they're actually holding up pretty well Geelong's defense but the issue is they're now being exposed more frequently because of the the failures of the layers ahead of them so that's probably been a couple of things I reckon probably four or five things which Chris Scott will be focusing on after what he would have seen the last two weeks

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1061.148 - 1065.392 Gerard Whateley

And where are the flaws in the Suns' profile after losses to North and Brisbane?

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1065.412 - 1091.138 Brenton Sanderson

Yeah, I dug a bit deeper this week on the Suns because under Hardwick, they've been great at contest and clearance. I'm really surprised. They've got the worst clearance differential this year in the AFL and their bottom five in contested possession as well. So quite simply, what has been a strength of the Gold Coast Suns under Damian Hardwick has quickly become quite a significant weakness.

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1091.118 - 1111.432 Brenton Sanderson

the underlying numbers are still okay. They've still got a lot of stuff that looks really good in their profile. But when they lose, they lose a specific way. So I reckon there's four major themes that have emerged in their losses. Firstly, their midfield gets beaten. And this is a great midfield, but in their losses, it stands out.

1111.613 - 1133.308 Brenton Sanderson

So I reckon the game that you'd be referring to if you're Chris Scott would be the Melbourne game, when the Suns lost clearances by 11, contested possessions by 22, and they lost the inside 50 count by 14. So when they can't win contest and clearance, the Suns, all of their advantages disappear. Their entire game style becomes less effective.

1133.288 - 1156.107 Brenton Sanderson

I still think also, Gerard, defensive transition is still a weakness with the Suns. So they can still defend stoppage losses reasonably well, but they're struggling against sides that move the ball quickly. So any side that does that gets uncontested mark chains. Suns have been really exposed behind the ball. And I reckon the best game to reference that is the Hawthorne loss

1156.492 - 1176.778 Brenton Sanderson

that they had where Hawthorne not only beat Gold Coast at stoppage, they repeatedly intercepted the ball defensively and then they just outworked them. They outspread and they put more speed on the game than what the Gold Coast Suns could defend. So that'd be a great game to watch this week if you're Chris Scott. And I reckon too...

1176.758 - 1200.853 Brenton Sanderson

They sometimes, because they've been so poor at clearance and contested ball this year, it's almost like they're trying too hard to fix just that one problem and other things are falling apart around it. So their ball use has become a bit of an issue too. So their disposal efficiency numbers are dropping. And we know Ben King, he's at his best when the ball arrives quickly and cleanly.

Chapter 4: What strategies are the Bulldogs planning to implement against the Crows?

1769.498 - 1787.408 Brenton Sanderson

They need more volume. So they've got to find a way to generate more offense in this game. Giant strategy? Pressure St Kilda's D50 exits. I reckon this is the biggest lever in the game. the Giants should attack the Suns' ball use coming out of their defence. So Giants forwards, you are on red alert this week. You've got to make sure you create front-half turnovers.

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1787.888 - 1806.977 Brenton Sanderson

I reckon if you're Adam Kingsley, avoid a bit of a stoppage grind in this. I reckon go really fast from turnovers, move the ball aggressively, take the corridor options and create 1v1s behind the ball. And I reckon too, Adam Kingsley will have a plan for Wanganine, Millerer, Sinclair and Hall. Hall's really impressive. Very much so. He's having a really good season.

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1806.997 - 1828.778 Brenton Sanderson

They're probably the three most impactful players for St. Kilda in this one. You know, I love a stat to watch during a game. Well, I want to go with live stats here. So this is what sides can measure and give players feedback in game, not in review. These are live stats. I reckon measurables in this game, GWS, you've got to win the turnover score by 20.

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1828.758 - 1853.54 Brenton Sanderson

So five per quarter, win turnover score by title of 20. You've got to force the Saints into 75-plus turnovers, which is what they should be able to do that. And Giants should be looking to score 95 points plus. So, I mean, 100's the magic number, but I reckon 95 points will get you the win in this game. St. Kilda, your live numbers. Win clearances by plus eight. So it's only two per quarter.

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1854.141 - 1875.066 Brenton Sanderson

Win contested possession by 15. and keep Julyance to a score of 85 points or below. So I just think if St Kilda can protect the ball, prevents turnover scores, get an advantage around contest and clearance, they have a genuine opportunity to win this game. But I reckon if it becomes transitional-based, the Giants' current profile suggests they are the likely winner.

1875.046 - 1893.561 Brenton Sanderson

I'll have those with me while I watch the game on Sunday. Who wins? St. Kilda at Marvel. I just think that was super impressive against the Sydney Swans and didn't win. So this is their big challenge. So you take that disappointment, respond with a win. I like the Saints at Marvel. I'm going to tip them by eight points. Sando, awesome.

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